169
FNUS21 KWNS 021553
FWDDY1
DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1052 AM CDT TUE JUN 02 2026
VALID 021700Z - 031200Z
NO CHANGES WERE MADE TO THE AREAL EXTENT OF THE EXISTING ISOLATED
DRY THUNDER HIGHLIGHT. PRECIPITABLE WATER AMOUNTS NEAR 1/2 INCH
ACROSS THE DRAWN AREA AMID A RELATIVELY DRY NEAR-SURFACE ATMOSPHERIC
LAYER AND ESTABLISHED DROUGHT. AS WAS PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED, A MIX OF
DRY AND WET THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE AS THE MOISTURE GRADIENT
INCREASES FROM THE NORTH/WEST TO SOUTH/EAST. HOWEVER, WITH A SLIGHT
TREND TOWARD WARMING, DRYING, AND INCREASED SURFACE WIND EXPECTED
LATER THIS WEEK OVER THE REGION, THE POTENTIAL FOR HOLD OVER
IGNITIONS WILL EXIST.
..STEARNS.. 06/02/2026
PREV DISCUSSION
/ISSUED 1232 AM CDT TUE JUN 02 2026/
..SYNOPSIS
WEAK AND DIFFUSE UPPER-LEVEL TROUGHING WILL BE OVER THE SOUTHWEST,
WITH MOISTURE ALOFT INCREASING ALONG/EAST OF THE DIVIDE IN NEW
MEXICO AND ALONG PORTIONS OF THE ARIZONA/NEW MEXICO AND NEW
MEXICO-COLORADO BORDERS. PWAT VALUES WILL INCREASE TO 0.4-0.6"
ACROSS WESTERN NEW MEXICO AND INTO FAR EASTERN ARIZONA AND SOUTHERN
COLORADO, BUT SURFACE DEWPOINTS ARE LIKELY TO REMAIN BELOW 40F AND
MOSTLY 20-30F. DEEP, WELL-MIXED INVERTED-V SOUNDINGS ARE EXPECTED
WITH HIGH CLOUD BASES OF 10,000-13,000 FEET AGL, WITH MINIMUM RH OF
10-20%. WEAKER STEERING FLOW (5-15 KNOTS) AND DEEP, DRY SUB-CLOUD
LAYERS MAY CREATE A MIX OF WET/DRY THUNDERSTORMS, AND STORMS WILL BE
WETTER FARTHER EAST AS COVERAGE AND MOISTURE INCREASES. OVERALL,
FORCING FOR ASCENT ALOFT AND ENOUGH BUOYANCY SHOULD PRODUCE ISOLATED
MOSTLY DRY THUNDERSTORMS OVER DRY FUELS (ERCS 80-95TH PERCENTILE) IN
WESTERN NEW MEXICO/VICINITY.
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
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