022
FNUS21 KWNS 031608
FWDDY1
DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1107 AM CDT WED JUN 03 2026
VALID 031700Z - 041200Z
NO CHANGES WERE MADE TO THE DRAWN ELEVATED AREA. SCATTERED HIGH TO
MID LEVEL CLOUDS CAN BE SEEN STREAMING ACROSS THE PACIFIC
NORTHWEST/GREAT BASIN AHEAD OF THE PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED SHORTWAVE
TROUGH, BUT ARE NOT EXPECTED TO SIGNIFICANTLY IMPACT AFTERNOON
HEATING. AT THE SURFACE, OBSERVATIONS INDICATE RHS IN THE LOW
TWENTIES TO TEENS ALREADY THIS MORNING AMID ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES OVER MUCH OF THE ELEVATED AREA OF SOUTHWEST ID AND
NORTHEAST NV. WHILE AN ISOLATED MARGINALLY DRY THUNDERSTORM CANNOT
BE RULED OUT THIS AFTERNOON OVER FAR EASTERN OR, CONFIDENCE IS LOW
ENOUGH TO PRECLUDE THE INTRODUCTION OF ANY DRAWN AREAS. THE REST OF
THE FORECAST REMAINS ON TRACK AS DESCRIBED BELOW.
..STEARNS.. 06/03/2026
PREV DISCUSSION
/ISSUED 1241 AM CDT WED JUN 03 2026/
..SYNOPSIS
WEAK AND DIFFUSE UPPER-LEVEL TROUGHING WILL CONTINUE OVER THE
SOUTHWEST WHILE A MID-LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH TRAVERSES THE
NORTHWEST. WINDS WILL INCREASE ACROSS NORTHEASTERN NEVADA INTO
SOUTHERN IDAHO AHEAD OF THE SHORTWAVE AND AN ASSOCIATED DRY COLD
FRONT, OVERLAPPING A DRY AIRMASS. SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS OF 15-20
MPH (GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH), ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES, AND 10-15% RH
ARE EXPECTED BY PEAK HEATING. WHILE SOME GREEN-UP IS IN PLACE OVER
THE AREA, ENOUGH CONTINUITY OF VERY DRY FUELS COINCIDENT WITH
PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL MAINTAIN ELEVATED FIRE
WEATHER CONCERNS, ACCOMPANIED BY LOCALLY CRITICAL IN TERRAIN-FAVORED
AREAS.
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED MIXED WET/DRY THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY AGAIN
ACROSS PORTIONS OF FAR EASTERN ARIZONA INTO WESTERN NEW MEXICO AND
SOUTHERN COLORADO THIS AFTERNOON. STORMS EAST OF THE RIO GRANDE
VALLEY WILL BE MOSTLY WET WITH DRIER STORMS ALONG/WEST OF THE
DIVIDE. HOWEVER, WITH WEAK STEERING FLOW STORMS ARE LIKELY TO LINGER
OVER AREAS, ESPECIALLY ON THE HIGHER TERRAIN. ADDITIONALLY, SLIGHTLY
DEEPER MOISTURE MAY WORK ITS WAY INTO PORTIONS OF EASTERN ARIZONA,
WHICH WOULD ALSO LIMIT THE POTENTIAL FOR DRIER THUNDERSTORMS. FUELS
REMAIN DRY, BUT SOME AREAS WILL HAVE A SECOND CONSECUTIVE DAY OF
THUNDERSTORMS, WHICH MAY HELP LIMIT IGNITION POTENTIAL.
THE UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE WILL BEGIN TO FLATTEN OVER THE UPPER MIDWEST
AND GREAT LAKES, BUT THE STRONGER WINDS WILL BE DISPLACED FROM THE
LOWEST RH. REGARDLESS, FUELS REMAIN VERY DRY ACROSS THESE AREAS
(90TH+ PERCENTILE) AMID ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND LOWER RH.
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
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