291
ACUS11 KWNS 032210
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 032210
MNZ000-NDZ000-040015-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0972
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0510 PM CDT WED JUN 03 2026
AREAS AFFECTED...NORTHEAST ND INTO NORTHWEST MN
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY
VALID 032210Z - 040015Z
PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 PERCENT
SUMMARY...STRONG TO LOCALLY SEVERE STORMS MAY INCREASE INTO THE
EVENING.
DISCUSSION...STORMS ARE GRADUALLY INCREASING IN COVERAGE AND
INTENSITY LATE THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS EASTERN ND, ALONG EAST OF A
SURFACE TROUGH. A MID/UPPER-LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH/LOW MOVING ACROSS
THE CANADIAN PRAIRIES WILL HELP TO SUSTAIN THIS CONVECTION INTO THE
EVENING, WITH STORMS EXPECTED TO SPREAD ACROSS PARTS OF NORTHEAST ND
INTO NORTHWEST MN. WHILE BOTH LOW-LEVEL AND DEEP-LAYER SHEAR WILL
TEND TO BE STRONGER ACROSS THE AREA COVERED BY WW 271, MODERATE
BUOYANCY (MLCAPE OF 1000-1500 J/KG) AND EFFECTIVE SHEAR OF 25-35 KT
WILL SUPPORT OCCASIONAL STORM ORGANIZATION, INCLUDING POTENTIAL FOR
HAIL, LOCALIZED STRONG/DAMAGING GUSTS, AND POSSIBLY A BRIEF TORNADO.
WHILE THE MAGNITUDE AND COVERAGE OF THE SEVERE THREAT ACROSS
NORTHEAST ND/NORTHWEST MN IS EXPECTED TO BE LESS THAN AREAS FARTHER
SOUTH, AND ADDITIONAL WATCH ISSUANCE IS CONSIDERED UNLIKELY, TRENDS
WILL BE MONITORED FOR AN UPTICK IN STORM COVERAGE/INTENSITY INTO THE
EARLY EVENING.
..DEAN/GUYER.. 06/03/2026
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
ATTN...WFO...FGF...
LAT...LON 47739532 47809707 47809752 47819812 47989832 48299857
48669890 48889883 49099857 49049737 49019568 48949512
48619494 48349495 47739519 47739532
MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 90 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN
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