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ACUS11 KWNS 052056
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 052055
IAZ000-MOZ000-KSZ000-NEZ000-052300-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0990
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0355 PM CDT FRI JUN 05 2026
AREAS AFFECTED...FAR NORTHERN KANSAS...MUCH OF SOUTHERN
NEBRASKA...SOUTHWEST IOWA AND FAR NORTHWEST MISSOURI
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY
VALID 052055Z - 052300Z
PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...80 PERCENT
SUMMARY...STORMS WILL DEVELOP FROM FAR NORTHERN KANSAS ACROSS MUCH
OF SOUTHERN AND EASTERN NEBRASKA AFTER ABOUT 22-23Z. DAMAGING WINDS
AND HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE.
DISCUSSION...VISIBLE SATELLITE SHOWS CU DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE
SURFACE TROUGH OVER WESTERN KS AND INTERSECTING THE STATIONARY FRONT
EXTENDING FROM SOUTHERN NE INTO IA. INITIAL DEVELOPMENT IS MOST
LIKELY FROM NORTHERN KS INTO SOUTH-CENTRAL NE IN THE NEXT 1-2 HOURS,
WITH ADDITIONAL ACTIVITY INCREASING ALONG THE STATIONARY FRONT AS A
MODEST LOW-LEVEL JET INCREASES THIS EVENING.
LOCALIZED HAIL AT OR ABOVE 2.00" MAY OCCUR, ALONG WITH AN EVENTUAL
MIXED-MODE DAMAGING WIND THREAT AS STORMS TRAVEL WITHIN THE
MODERATELY UNSTABLE ZONE NEAR THE BOUNDARY. VISIBLE IMAGERY AND
SURFACE OBSERVATIONS SHOW AMPLE MOISTURE IN PLACE, WHICH IS ALSO
BENEATH STEEP MIDLEVEL LAPSE RATES. DEEP-LAYER SHEAR IS A BIT
MARGINAL FOR SUPERCELLS, BUT DEEP-LAYER MEAN WINDS SPEEDS AS WELL AS
THE INCREASING SOUTHERLY WINDS AT 850 MB SHOULD SUPPORT ACCELERATING
EASTWARD PROPAGATING CLUSTERS, AND PERHAPS SOME CELLS SPLITS.
..JEWELL/MOSIER.. 06/05/2026
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
ATTN...WFO...DMX...EAX...OAX...TOP...GID...GLD...
LAT...LON 40429476 39939525 39699925 39699999 39960009 40479990
40819962 41099881 41329786 41779616 41819549 41769505
41419483 41159473 40429476
MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 90 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN
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