153
ACUS11 KWNS 072345
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 072345
NDZ000-MTZ000-080115-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1019
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0645 PM CDT SUN JUN 07 2026
AREAS AFFECTED...WESTERN NORTH DAKOTA
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 285...
VALID 072345Z - 080115Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 285
CONTINUES.
SUMMARY...SEVERE SUPERCELLS ALONG THE COLD FRONT WILL POSE A RISK
FOR HAIL, DAMAGING WINDS AND A TORNADO OR TWO THIS EVENING.
EVENTUALLY UPSCALE GROWTH INTO A LINE WITH A RISK FOR SIGNIFICANT
DAMAGING WINDS IS POSSIBLE.
DISCUSSION...SEVERAL SUPERCELLS HAVE RAPIDLY INTENSIFIED ALONG AND
BEHIND THE SAGGING COLD FRONT ACROSS NORTHWESTERN ND. RICHER
LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE (MID TO UPPER 60S F SURFACE DEWPOINTS) ALONG THE
COOL SIDE OF THE BOUNDARY IS SUPPORTING LARGE BUOYANCY AMID STRONGLY
VEERING WIND PROFILES. HAIL (SOME GREATER THAN 2 INCHES) IS LIKELY
WITH THESE INITIAL SUPERCELLS. LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE MAY ALSO BE
SUFFICIENT FOR A COUPLE OF TORNADOES GIVEN THE STRONG LOW-LEVEL
BUOYANCY AND ENHANCED VERTICAL VORTICITY ALONG THE FRONT.
EVENTUALLY THE CONVECTION EMANATING OUT OF MT AND SD, AS WELL AS THE
SURGING FRONT WILL FAVOR UPSCALE GROWTH INTO LINEAR CLUSTERS. THE
STRONG BUOYANCY AND VERTICAL SHEAR WOULD SUPPORT A RISK FOR DAMAGING
WINDS, SOME OF WHICH COULD BE SIGNIFICANT.
..LYONS.. 06/07/2026
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
ATTN...WFO...BIS...GGW...
LAT...LON 46870272 46650335 46710402 47410406 48780317 49150231
49020181 48660171 47970206 46870272
MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...85-110 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...75-90 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page