027
FNUS22 KWNS 081945
FWDDY2
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0245 PM CDT MON JUN 08 2026
VALID 091200Z - 101200Z
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR FOR PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWEST AND
GREAT BASIN...
..SOUTHWEST, EASTERN GREAT BASIN AND CENTRAL ROCKIES
AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE NORTHWEST CONUS AND ATTENDANT
STRONGER MID-LEVEL FLOW ATOP A WELL MIXED BOUNDARY LAYER, WILL
SUPPORT A BROAD FIRE WEATHER CONCERN ACROSS THE EASTERN GREAT BASIN,
SOUTHWEST, CENTRAL ROCKIES AND ADJACENT HIGH PLAINS. A CORRIDOR OF
STRONGER SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW AHEAD OF AN ADVANCING COLD FRONT WILL
SET UP ACROSS THE CO PLATEAU WHERE SUSTAINED SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 20
MPH TO LOCALLY 30 MPH ARE EXPECTED. THE WINDS COUPLED WITH RH AT OR
BELOW 10% AND RECEPTIVE FUELS WILL SUSTAIN SEVERAL HOURS OF CRITICAL
FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS TUESDAY AFTERNOON. EXPANDED ELEVATED
HIGHLIGHTS INTO THE CENTRAL CO AND ADJACENT HIGH PLAINS. LEE SURFACE
TROUGHING ACROSS THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS WILL BOLSTER SOUTHWEST
WINDS OF 15-20 MPH AND ENHANCE DOWNSLOPE DRYING ACROSS THE FRONT
RANGE, WHERE RH REDUCTIONS OF 15-20% WILL LIKELY ALIGN WITH POCKETS
OF RECEPTIVE FUELS.
..NORTHWESTERN NEW MEXICO AND FAR SOUTHERN COLORADO
AN APPROACHING UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH, ASSOCIATED ACCELERATING MID-LEVEL
FLOW AND EXISTING MID-LEVEL MOISTURE SHOULD SUPPORT A THUNDERSTORM
THREAT FOR TUESDAY FOR NORTHWESTERN NM INTO FAR SOUTHERN CO.
NOCTURNAL CONVECTION IS POSSIBLE THROUGH TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY
MORNING ACROSS NORTHWESTERN NM ALTHOUGH PRIMARY PERIOD OF CONCERN
REMAINS TUESDAY AFTERNOON WHERE DAYTIME INSTABILITY WILL BE
MAXIMIZED. THUNDERSTORMS WILL QUICKLY TRANSLATE NORTHEASTWARD
THROUGH THE PERIOD OWING TO INCREASING FLOW ALOFT, LIMITING WETTING
RAIN POTENTIAL. A DEEP, DRY BOUNDARY LAYER WILL FURTHER INHIBIT
SURFACE RAINFALL FROM ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. ISOLATED DRY
THUNDERSTORM HIGHLIGHTS HAVE BEEN ADDED TO NORTHWESTERN NM AND FAR
SOUTHERN CO GIVEN RECEPTIVE FUELS AND POTENTIAL FOR LIGHTNING
IGNITIONS.
..WILLIAMS.. 06/08/2026
PREV DISCUSSION
/ISSUED 0133 AM CDT MON JUN 08 2026/
..SYNOPSIS
A LONGWAVE TROUGH WILL REMAIN IN PLACE OVER THE NORTHWESTERN CONUS
THROUGH THE DAY ON TUESDAY WITH A STRONG JET MAX MOVING IN ACROSS
PORTIONS OF THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST AND GREAT BASIN. THIS WILL RESULT
GUSTY WINDS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWEST, GREAT BASIN, AND
CENTRAL ROCKIES, AND CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS.
..SOUTHWEST AND GREAT BASIN
DIURNAL MIXING WITH STRONG (FOR THE SEASON) FLOW ALOFT WILL RESULT
IN WINDS OF 20-30 MPH ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION ALONG WITH RH OF
5-15% IN THE AFTERNOON. CONTINUED POOR OVERNIGHT RH RECOVERY MEANS
FUELS IN THIS AREA ARE CRITICALLY DRY. THEREFORE, HAVE INTRODUCED A
CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER RISK AREA HERE.
..CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS AND FOOTHILLS
STRONG WINDS (20-30 MPH AND LOCALLY HIGHER) ARE EXPECTED TO
OVERSPREAD THE REGION ALONG WITH RH VALUES IN THE 10-15% RANGE WEST
OF A DRYLINE. THE PRIMARY UNCERTAINTY IN THIS REGION IS WITH THE
FUELS, AS MANY AREAS HAVE RECEIVED PRECIPITATION RECENTLY, AND SOME
MAY RECEIVE ADDITIONAL PRECIPITATION ON MONDAY. THEREFORE, WILL ADD
AN ELEVATED RISK IN THIS AREA, THOUGH THERE MAY BE SOME LOCALIZED
AREAS OF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER RISK.
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
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