539
ACUS11 KWNS 100613
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 100612
MNZ000-100815-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1058
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0112 AM CDT WED JUN 10 2026
AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL MINNESOTA
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 298...
VALID 100612Z - 100815Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 298
CONTINUES.
SUMMARY...DAMAGING WINDS, LARGE HAIL, AND A CONDITIONAL TORNADO
THREAT WILL EXIST WITH STORMS MOVING INTO CENTRAL MINNESOTA TONIGHT.
LOCAL EXTENSIONS OF WW 298 AND/OR A NEW WATCH MAY BE NEEDED.
DISCUSSION...STORMS IN SOUTHWEST MINNESOTA ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
MOVING NORTHEASTWARD TONIGHT. MODERATE TO STRONG BUOYANCY AND
EFFECTIVE SHEAR OF 30-35 KT WILL SUPPORT A THREAT FOR DAMAGING WINDS
AND LARGE HAIL WITH THE STRONGEST STORMS. THE KMPX VAD DOES SHOW
ENLARGED HODOGRAPHS. A TORNADO WOULD BE CONDITIONALLY POSSIBLE IN
THIS ENVIRONMENT. THAT SAID, THE LOW-LEVEL THERMODYNAMIC ENVIRONMENT
IS ONLY MARGINALLY FAVORABLE TONIGHT GIVEN THE PRESENCE OF AT LEAST
MODEST MLCIN. HOW FAR EAST THE STRONGEST ACTIVITY WILL REACH IS ALSO
A QUESTION AS THE ENVIRONMENT BECOMES LESS FAVORABLE NEAR THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER. LOCAL EXTENSIONS OF WW 298 AND/OR A NEW WATCH MAY
BE NEEDED AS STORMS DEVELOP NORTHEASTWARD.
..WENDT.. 06/10/2026
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
ATTN...WFO...MPX...FSD...
LAT...LON 43649399 43719474 44139535 44739630 45209588 45849486
45699388 45389348 44949322 44049359 43649399
MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...100-125 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN
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