363
FNUS22 KWNS 101848
FWDDY2
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0148 PM CDT WED JUN 10 2026
VALID 111200Z - 121200Z
ONLY MINOR ADJUSTMENTS WERE MADE TO THE LARGER ELEVATED AREA OVER
AND NEAR THE SOUTHERN/CENTRAL ROCKIES. A SLIGHT EXPANSION WAS MADE
OVER THE SOUTHERN EXTENT OF THE AREA IN CENTRAL NM WHERE THE LATEST
FORECAST GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THAT STRONGER WESTERLY WINDS WILL SPREAD
SLIGHTLY FARTHER SOUTH. SIMILARLY, A SLIGHT EXPANSION TO THE
NORTHERN END OF THIS ELEVATED AREA OVER SOUTHEAST WY WHERE THE
LATEST FORECAST GUIDANCE INDICATES SLIGHTLY LOWER AFTERNOON RHS WILL
COMBINE WITH BREEZY NORTHWESTERLY WINDS BEHIND THE COLD FRONT.
ELSEWHERE, INCLUDING OVER THE SACRAMENTO VALLEY IN CA, THE FORECAST
REMAINS ON TRACK WITH THE LATEST GUIDANCE. THERE IS SOME POTENTIAL
FOR BRIEFLY CRITICAL WIND/RH CONDITIONS OVER A SMALL AREA OF
NORTHWEST NM. HOWEVER, THE ANTICIPATED AREAL EXTENT, DURATION, AND
LIKELIHOOD OF THESE STRONGER WINDS OCCURRING REMAINS LIMITED
PRECLUDING ANY POTENTIAL UPGRADE WITH THIS FORECAST. THE LATEST
FORECAST GUIDANCE ALSO SHOWS ELEVATED WIND/RH SPREADING FARTHER EAST
OVER PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS. HOWEVER, RECENT RAINFALL
AND RESULTANT SUB-CRITICAL FUELS PRECLUDE A FIRE WEATHER THREAT
THERE.
..STEARNS.. 06/10/2026
PREV DISCUSSION
/ISSUED 1235 AM CDT WED JUN 10 2026/
..SYNOPSIS
A COMPACT UPPER TROUGH WILL EXIT THE GREAT BASIN REGION ON DAY
2/THURSDAY AFTERNOON, TRAVERSING THE HIGH PLAINS AND MOVING OVER THE
UPPER MIDWEST IN THE LATE EVENING. A SURFACE LOW WILL EJECT OUT OF
THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES ON DAY 1/WEDNESDAY, DEVELOPING NORTHEASTWARD TO
THE GREAT LAKES REGION AND SENDING A COLD FRONT SOUTHWARD THROUGH
THE SOUTHERN PLAINS ON DAY 2/THURSDAY. AN AMPLIFYING UPPER RIDGE
OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC WILL PROMOTE WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS ACROSS
THE INTERIOR WEST, THOUGH MUCH LIGHTER WINDS (COMPARED TO PREVIOUS
DAYS) WILL BRING SOME RELIEF TO THE FIRE ENVIRONMENT. HOWEVER, VERY
DRY FUELS WILL CONTINUE TO SUPPORT ELEVATED FIRE CONCERNS.
...FOUR CORNERS, SOUTHERN COLORADO ROCKIES AND ADJACENT HIGH
PLAINS...
AS THE UPPER TROUGH AND ATTENDANT SURFACE LOW EXIT THE REGION,
SURFACE TROUGHING OVER THE FOUR CORNERS AND COLORADO PLATEAU WILL
SUPPORT WESTERLY WINDS UP TO 15 MPH AMID 10-15% RH. IN THE WAKE OF A
COLD FRONT, VEERING NORTH-EASTERLY 15-20 MPH WINDS (GUSTS UP TO 30
MPH) AND RH VALUES OF 10-20% WILL SPREAD ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE
SOUTHERN ROCKIES AND ADJACENT HIGH PLAINS. ELEVATED HIGHLIGHTS HAVE
BEEN INTRODUCED TO ACCOUNT FOR THESE CONDITIONS WHERE DRY FUELS
EXIST.
..SACRAMENTO VALLEY
NORTHERLY WINDS OF 10-15 MPH ON DAY 1/WEDNESDAY WILL PERSIST INTO
THE MORNING OF DAY 2/THURSDAY WITH VERY POOR HUMIDITY RECOVERIES (RH
VALUES OF 20-30% OVERNIGHT). AS AN UPPER RIDGE OVER THE EASTERN
PACIFIC PUSHES THE UPPER TROUGH EASTWARD, NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT
WILL WEAKEN AND SHIFT MORE WESTERLY. NORTHERLY SURFACE WINDS WILL
GRADUALLY DECREASE THROUGHOUT THE AFTERNOON, HOWEVER THE FIRE
CONCERNS REMAIN AS 10-15% RH PERSISTS INTO THE EVENING. AN EXTENDED
BURNING PERIOD AND DRY FINE FUELS SUPPORT ELEVATED HIGHLIGHTS WITHIN
THE VALLEY AND ADJACENT FOOTHILLS.
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
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