846
ACUS11 KWNS 112257
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 112256
MOZ000-ARZ000-OKZ000-KSZ000-120030-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1098
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0556 PM CDT THU JUN 11 2026
AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF CENTRAL/NORTHEAST OK...SOUTHEAST KS...AND
SOUTHWEST MO
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 314...316...
VALID 112256Z - 120030Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 314, 316
CONTINUES.
SUMMARY...RISK OF LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS SPREADING EASTWARD
ACROSS CENTRAL/NORTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS -- WITHIN
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCHES 314 AND 316.
DISCUSSION...SEMI-DISCRETE SUPERCELL STRUCTURES ARE EVOLVING
EASTWARD ALONG A NORTHEAST/SOUTHWEST-ORIENTED COLD FRONT EXTENDING
FROM SOUTHEAST KS ACROSS NORTHEAST/CENTRAL OK. ALONG THIS SEGMENT OF
THE COLD FRONT, AROUND 30 KT OF DEEP-LAYER SHEAR (PER VWP DATA) AND
STORM MOTIONS DIRECTED OFF THE BOUNDARY SHOULD CONTINUE TO PROMOTE
SEMI-DISCRETE SUPERCELL STRUCTURES WITH A RISK OF LARGE HAIL AND
DAMAGING WINDS IN THE NEAR TERM. WITH TIME, AN INCREASINGLY PARALLEL
COMPONENT OF THE DEEP-LAYER FLOW/SHEAR TO THE FRONT AND
STRENGTHENING COLD POOLS SHOULD FAVOR UPSCALE GROWTH INTO A LINE OF
STORMS, WHICH WILL PROMOTE MORE OF A DAMAGING WIND RISK.
..WEINMAN.. 06/11/2026
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
ATTN...WFO...SGF...TSA...ICT...OUN...
LAT...LON 35349842 35569796 36349660 37089548 37449495 37509434
37299404 36859398 36259488 35679565 35209659 34929735
34849780 34889815 35149847 35349842
MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 90 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN
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