771
ACUS11 KWNS 130155
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 130155
TXZ000-OKZ000-KSZ000-COZ000-NMZ000-130330-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1113
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0855 PM CDT FRI JUN 12 2026
AREAS AFFECTED...NORTHERN TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES...FAR
NORTHEAST NEW MEXICO...FAR SOUTHWEST KANSAS
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 323...
VALID 130155Z - 130330Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 323
CONTINUES.
SUMMARY...THE POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE WINDS IS INCREASING ACROSS FAR
NORTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO INTO THE NORTHERN TEXAS PANHANDLE AND
CENTRAL OKLAHOMA PANHANDLE.
DISCUSSION...REFLECTIVITY AND VELOCITY DATA FROM KAMA SHOWS THE
EARLY STAGES OF A CONSOLIDATED OUTFLOW SURGE WITHIN A DEVELOPING
LINEAR SEGMENT WEST OF GUYMON, OK. FURTHER SOUTHWEST, INITIALLY
SEMI-DISCRETE CELLS ARE ALSO UNDERGOING A LINEAR TRANSITION AS COLD
POOLS BEGIN TO AMALGAMATE ACROSS FAR NORTHEAST NEW MEXICO. RECENT
VWP OBSERVATIONS FROM KAMA SHOW THE ONSET OF THE NOCTURNAL JET IS
UNDERWAY WITH WINDS IN THE 0-1 KM LAYER INCREASING TO 30-35 KNOTS,
WHICH SHOULD ACT TO INCREASE LOW-LEVEL ASCENT ON THE SOUTHERN FLANKS
OF THE DEVELOPING LINEAR SEGMENTS. ADDITIONALLY, RECENT RAP
MESOANALYSIS DEPICTS A PLUME OF STEEP LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES BETWEEN
8-9 C/KM IMMEDIATELY DOWNSTREAM OF THIS ACTIVITY, WHICH WILL HELP
AUGMENT LOW-LEVEL DOWNDRAFT ACCELERATIONS AND STRENGTHEN OUTFLOW
WINDS. CONSEQUENTLY, A UPTICK IN SEVERE WIND POTENTIAL APPEARS
LIKELY OVER THE NEXT 1-2 HOURS DOWNSTREAM ACROSS THE NORTHERN TX
PANHANDLE AND THE CENTRAL OK PANHANDLE.
..MOORE.. 06/13/2026
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
ATTN...WFO...DDC...AMA...PUB...ABQ...
LAT...LON 35880436 36100370 36470288 36870233 37260186 37400156
37460100 37350044 37200025 36940013 36640013 36330021
36020049 35840086 35680131 35530192 35450269 35380335
35330382 35420425 35690439 35740442 35880436
MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 90 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN
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