455
FNUS21 KWNS 130612
FWDDY1
DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0111 AM CDT SAT JUN 13 2026
VALID 131200Z - 141200Z
..SYNOPSIS
ISOLATED DRY THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST FROM THE FOUR CORNERS REGION
INTO PARTS OF THE GREAT BASIN DURING THE AFTERNOON AS DEEP BOUNDARY
LAYER MIXING WITH MEAGER MOISTURE CONTENT RESULTS IN DEEP INVERTED-V
PROFILES ACROSS THE AREA. PRECIPITABLE WATER CONTENT OF 0.5-0.75 IN
AND TALL LCLS EXCEEDING 3.5 KM WILL SIGNIFICANTLY REDUCE
PRECIPITATION EFFICIENCY, AND WITH ERCS IN THE 90TH-98TH PERCENTILE
RANGES, LIGHTNING IGNITIONS WILL BE A CONCERN. PRECIPITABLE WATER
CONTENT INCREASES TO 1.0-1.25 IN WITH SOUTHWARD EXTENT, SUGGESTING
THE DIVIDING LINE BETWEEN WET/DRY THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE SOMEWHERE IN
THE CENTRAL PORTIONS OF ARIZONA AND NEW MEXICO. WHILE THE EXACT
DETAILS OF WHERE THE DRY-TO-WET THUNDERSTORM TRANSITION WILL SET UP
REMAINS UNCLEAR, SOME LIGHTNING IGNITIONS MAY BE SUPPORTED ON THE
PERIPHERY OF MORE PRECIPITATION EFFICIENT DOWNDRAFTS AS WELL.
..HALBERT.. 06/13/2026
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
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