113
FNUS22 KWNS 131856
FWDDY2
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0155 PM CDT SAT JUN 13 2026
VALID 141200Z - 151200Z
SLIGHT ADJUSTMENTS WERE MADE TO THE DRY THUNDERSTORM RISK AREA BASED
ON UPDATED FORECAST GUIDANCE. FURTHER SPATIAL MODIFICATIONS REMAIN
LIKELY IN THE UPCOMING OUTLOOK CYCLE DEPENDING ON HOW MUCH
PRECIPITATION OCCURS OVER THE FORECAST REGION ON DAY 1/SATURDAY. ANY
NEW/ONGOING WILDFIRES (SUCH AS THE BEAR FIRE IN WESTERN NM) MAY BE
IMPACTED BY ERRATIC WIND GUSTS OF UP TO 35 MPH.
ACROSS NORTHERN MINNESOTA/WISCONSIN AND THE MICHIGAN UPPER
PENINSULA, SUSTAINED NORTHWESTERLY WINDS OF 10-15 MPH WILL COMBINE
WITH 25-35% RH FOR A FEW AFTERNOON HOURS ON DAY 2/SUNDAY. RECENT
RAINFALL, SPARSE FUELS, AND LIMITED DURATION OF FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS CURRENTLY PRECLUDE THE INTRODUCTION OF BROADER ELEVATED
HIGHLIGHTS. HOWEVER, LOCALIZED FIRE CONCERNS MAY EMERGE WHERE
POCKETS OF DRY FUELS EXIST.
SEE THE PREVIOUS DISCUSSION FOR MORE INFORMATION.
..ELIZALDE-GARCIA.. 06/13/2026
PREV DISCUSSION
/ISSUED 0112 AM CDT SAT JUN 13 2026/
..SYNOPSIS
ISOLATED DRY THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST FROM THE FOUR CORNERS INTO
THE GREAT BASIN SUNDAY AFTERNOON ON THE PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL
RIDGE CENTERED OVER MEXICO. PRECIPITABLE WATER CONTENT OF 0.5-0.75
INCHES COMBINED WITH DEEP INVERTED-V BOUNDARY LAYER PROFILES AND
LCL-EL MEAN WIND SPEEDS EXCEEDING 20 KTS WILL RESULT IN LOW
DOWNDRAFT PRECIPITATION EFFICIENCY. COMBINED WITH CRITICALLY
RECEPTIVE FUELS AND MINIMAL PRIOR-DAY PRECIPITATION, LIGHTNING-BASED
IGNITIONS WILL POSE A CONCERN.
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
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