906
ACUS11 KWNS 210425
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 210424
KSZ000-NEZ000-OKZ000-210600-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1221
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1124 PM CDT SAT JUN 20 2026
AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF WESTERN INTO CENTRAL KANSAS
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 359...361...
VALID 210424Z - 210600Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 359, 361
CONTINUES.
SUMMARY...SEVERE GUSTS WILL REMAIN A CONCERN WITH THE ONGOING MCS
FOR AT LEAST THE NEXT FEW HOURS.
DISCUSSION...A MATURE COLD-POOL-DRIVEN MCS CONTINUES TO PROPAGATE
SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS WESTERN INTO CENTRAL KS, WITH SEVERAL RECENT
MEASURED SEVERE GUSTS NOTED. RECENT KICT INBOUND VELOCITY DATA SHOWS
THAT A PRONOUNCED REAR-INFLOW JET PERSISTS WITH THIS MCS, AS WELL AS
A BOOK-END/LINE-END MESOVORTEX ON ITS NORTHERN FLANK. FURTHERMORE,
THIS MCS WILL CONTINUE TO PROGRESS SOUTHEASTWARD AMID A HIGHLY
SHEARED AND BUOYANT AIRMASS, CHARACTERIZED BY 50 KTS OF EFFECTIVE
BULK SHEAR (ORIENTED ROUGHLY NORMAL TO THE MCS LEADING LINE) AND
2000+ J/KG MLCAPE, DRIVEN BY 8+ C/KM MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES. GIVEN
THE HIGHLY ORGANIZED STORM STRUCTURE AND FAVORABLE AMBIENT
SUPPORTING ENVIRONMENT, SEVERE GUSTS WILL LIKELY CONTINUE WITH THIS
MCS FOR AT LEAST A FEW MORE HOURS.
..SQUITIERI.. 06/21/2026
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
ATTN...WFO...OAX...TOP...ICT...OUN...GID...DDC...AMA...
LAT...LON 38120065 38409974 39679754 40019690 39989644 39489610
38679621 37789685 37189738 36779817 36539919 36579987
36840045 38120065
MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 90 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN
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