981
ACUS11 KWNS 220435
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 220434
OKZ000-220630-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1246
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1134 PM CDT SUN JUN 21 2026
AREAS AFFECTED...NORTHWEST INTO CENTRAL OK
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 372...
VALID 220434Z - 220630Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 372
CONTINUES.
SUMMARY...AN INTENSE BOW ECHO AND REAR INFLOW JET WILL BE CAPABLE OF
80-100 MPH GUSTS, POTENTIALLY AS FAR SOUTHEAST AS THE OKC METRO.
DISCUSSION...RADAR MOSAIC SHOWS A MATURE AND INTENSE BOW ECHO AND
ASSOCIATED REAR INFLOW JET OVER NORTHWEST OK LATE THIS EVENING. THE
AIRMASS AHEAD OF THIS IS VERY UNSTABLE WITH 3000-4000 J/KG MLCAPE.
AMPLE MID TO HIGH-LEVEL NORTHWESTERLY FLOW AND A VERY MOISTURE-RICH
BOUNDARY LAYER WILL FAVOR FURTHER INTENSIFICATION AND MAINTENANCE OF
THIS BOW ECHO SOUTHEASTWARD INTO CENTRAL OK. RECENT HRRR MODELS
RUNS ARE CONGRUENT WITH THIS OVERALL CONVECTIVE EVOLUTION. PEAK
GUSTS OF 80-100 MPH ARE FORECAST WITH THE BOW ECHO. MESOVORTICES
WITHIN THE LINE WILL ALSO FOCUS INTENSE WIND SWATHS AND PERHAPS
YIELD A BRIEF TORNADO OR TWO.
..SMITH.. 06/22/2026
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
ATTN...WFO...OUN...
LAT...LON 35509847 36219958 36489909 36919883 36339754 35949724
35499747 35399789 35509847
MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 90 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...85-100 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN
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