434  
ACUS11 KWNS 221103  
SWOMCD  
SPC MCD 221103  
ARZ000-LAZ000-TXZ000-OKZ000-221300-  
 
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1250  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK  
0603 AM CDT MON JUN 22 2026  
 
AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA...WESTERN AND  
CENTRAL ARKANSAS...NORTHWEST LOUISIANA...AND NORTHEAST TEXAS  
 
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 373...  
 
VALID 221103Z - 221300Z  
 
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 373  
CONTINUES.  
 
SUMMARY...A WEAKENING BOWING COMPLEX OF STRONG/SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS  
WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE STRONG TO SEVERE WIND GUSTS THROUGH 9 AM  
CDT.  
 
DISCUSSION...MOSAIC RADAR IMAGERY AT 11Z DEPICTS A BOWING COMPLEX OF  
THUNDERSTORMS OVER FAR WESTERN AR, SOUTHEAST OK AND NORTHEAST TX,  
MOVING EAST AT AROUND 45 MPH WHILE STORMS ALONG THE SOUTHERN  
PERIPHERY SAG SOUTHEAST. THIS COMPLEX, WHICH ORIGINATED OVER WESTERN  
KS SUNDAY AFTERNOON, HAS EXHIBITED A GRADUAL WEAKENING TREND OVER  
THE PAST TWO HOURS AS EVIDENCED BY A DIMINISHING REAR-INFLOW JET AND  
LOWER LEADING EDGE REFLECTIVITY. NEVERTHELESS, AT LEAST SOME  
POTENTIAL FOR STRONG/NEAR SEVERE GUSTS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH 13-14Z  
GIVEN THE FAST SYSTEM MOVEMENT, PRESENCE OF MODERATE/STRONG MLCAPE  
IN THE DOWNSTREAM ENVIRONMENT, AND A SLOWLY VEERING LOW-LEVEL JET.  
 
BEYOND 13-14Z, THE SEVERE THREAT SHOULD CONTINUE TO DIMINISH WITH  
TIME AS THE WEAKENING TREND CONTINUES, IN LINE WITH SHORT-TERM  
HIGH-RES GUIDANCE.  
 
..BUNTING.. 06/22/2026  
   
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT  
 
ATTN...WFO...LZK...SHV...TSA...FWD...  
 
LAT...LON 32949367 32939491 33109550 33249581 33699608 33859481  
34189408 34549375 34899374 35269394 35589396 35569311  
35559278 35199235 34339249 33289279 32949367  
 
MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 90 MPH  
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH  
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