001
ACUS11 KWNS 232046
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 232045
FLZ000-GAZ000-232215-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1279
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0345 PM CDT TUE JUN 23 2026
AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF NORTH FLORIDA
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY
VALID 232045Z - 232215Z
PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 PERCENT
SUMMARY...A THUNDERSTORM CLUSTER WILL DEVELOP EAST/SOUTHEAST THROUGH
THE REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON. OCCASIONAL GUSTY WINDS WILL BE
POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS, THOUGH SEVERE RISK IS EXPECTED TO BE
LIMITED.
DISCUSSION...A CLUSTER OF STORMS HAS SHOWN SOME BETTER ORGANIZATION
RECENTLY AS IT CONTINUES TO PROPAGATE EAST/SOUTHEAST. THIS ACTIVITY
IS OCCURRING WITHIN A VERY MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIRMASS. STEEP
LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES MAY SUPPORT OCCASIONALLY STRONG/LOCALLY
DAMAGING WIND GUSTS UNTIL THE STORMS MOVE OFFSHORE. VERY WEAK
VERTICAL SHEAR SHOULD TEMPER THE OVERALL SEVERE RISK. A WATCH IS NOT
EXPECTED.
..LEITMAN/GUYER.. 06/23/2026
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
ATTN...WFO...TBW...JAX...TAE...
LAT...LON 30858217 30508121 29748097 29508136 29458209 29598292
29758331 30058345 30318315 30858217
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH
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