452
ACUS11 KWNS 250358
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 250357
TXZ000-NMZ000-250500-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1305
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1057 PM CDT WED JUN 24 2026
AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF THE TEXAS PANHANDLE AND SOUTH PLAINS
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY
VALID 250357Z - 250500Z
PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 PERCENT
SUMMARY...A FEW INSTANCES OF SEVERE HAIL AND WIND MAY OCCUR WITH
STORMS PROGRESSING OUT OF EAST-CENTRAL NM INTO THE TX SOUTH PLAINS
OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS. HOWEVER, THE SEVERE THREAT SHOULD REMAIN
ISOLATED, WITH A DOWNSTREAM WW ISSUANCE NOT EXPECTED.
DISCUSSION...MULTICELLULAR OUTFLOW DOMINANT STORMS HAVE EXITED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 388 WITH A RECENT HISTORY OF PRODUCING
MEASURED SEVERE GUSTS. THESE STORMS ARE OVERSPREADING A RELATIVELY
DRY BOUNDARY LAYER, APPROXIMATED BY THE EVALUATION OF BOTH THE AMA
AND MAF 00Z OBSERVED SOUNDINGS. FURTHERMORE, THE 03Z MESOANALYSIS
DEPICTS 1000-1500 J/KG DCAPE PRECEDING THE STORMS, SUGGESTING THAT
AMPLE EVAPORATIVE COOLING POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR SEVERE GUSTS,
ESPECIALLY WHERE COLD-POOL MERGERS OCCUR. HOWEVER, BOUNDARY LAYER
COOLING SHOULD TEMPER BOTH THE SPATIAL AND TEMPORAL EXTENT OF THE
SEVERE THREAT, WITH 50+ KT GUSTS AND 1+ INCH DIAMETER HAIL EXPECTED
TO REMAIN ISOLATED OVERALL.
..SQUITIERI/MOSIER.. 06/25/2026
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
ATTN...WFO...LUB...AMA...ABQ...
LAT...LON 36080197 35790112 35490094 34150132 33770153 33670200
33740242 34040299 34610315 35230317 35720307 36000252
36080197
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page