115
ACUS11 KWNS 252222
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 252222 COR
OKZ000-TXZ000-252330-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1319
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0522 PM CDT THU JUN 25 2026
AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF THE EASTERN OKLAHOMA
PANHANDLE...NORTHEASTERN TEXAS PANHANDLE...AND NORTHWESTERN OKLAHOMA
CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 392...
VALID 252222Z - 252330Z
CORRECTED FOR GRAPHIC
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 392 CONTINUES.
SUMMARY...A DISCRETE SUPERCELL IN THE EASTERN OKLAHOMA PANHANDLE
WILL POSE A RISK PRIMARILY FOR LARGE TO VERY LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING
WIND GUSTS OVER THE NEXT 1-2 HOURS. THE TORNADO RISK WITH THIS STORM
REMAINS MORE UNCERTAIN.
DISCUSSION...A DISCRETE SUPERCELL HAS INTENSIFIED ALONG A REMNANT
OUTFLOW BOUNDARY IN BEAVER COUNTY, OKLAHOMA OVER THE PAST HOUR. A
COUPLE OF TORNADOES HAVE BEEN REPORTED WITH THIS CELL, AND MRMS AND
OTHER MESH ESTIMATES HAVE RANGED UP TO 4+ INCHES OVER THE PAST 30-60
MINUTES. GIVEN THE FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT AND THE POTENTIAL FOR THIS
CELL TO REMAIN LARGELY DISCRETE FOR ANOTHER HOUR OR TWO BEFORE IT
POTENTIALLY INTERACTS WITH CONVECTION TO THE SOUTHWEST, LARGE TO
VERY LARGE HAIL (POTENTIALLY UP TO 2+ INCHES IN DIAMETER) AND
DAMAGING WIND GUSTS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE WITH THIS SUPERCELL.
BUNKERS RIGHT MOTION AND THE RECENT TRACK OF THE SUPERCELL SUGGEST
THAT IT MAY REMAIN ALONG THE REMNANT OUTFLOW BOUNDARY. IN THIS
SCENARIO, TORNADO POTENTIAL WILL REMAIN GREATER GIVEN THE FAVORABLE
LOW-LEVEL SHEAR ALONG/NORTH OF THE OUTFLOW BOUNDARY (100+ 0-500 M
SRH SAMPLED BY THE VNX VAD PROFILE). SHOULD THIS SUPERCELL ATTAIN
MORE OF A SOUTHEASTWARD TRACK, HOWEVER, IT WOULD ENCOUNTER A DRIER,
MORE WELL-MIXED BOUNDARY LAYER EXISTS (MLLCLS EXCEEDING 2 KM PER
LATEST OBJECTIVE ANALYSIS AND THE 18Z AMA OBSERVED SOUNDING), WHICH
WOULD RESULT IN A LOWER TORNADO THREAT.
..CHALMERS.. 06/25/2026
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
ATTN...WFO...OUN...AMA...
LAT...LON 36530036 36680037 36840020 36839993 36779957 36699933
36569926 36429923 36299942 36309980 36380013 36480036
36530036
MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...100-125 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN
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