724
ACUS11 KWNS 260130
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 260130
OKZ000-TXZ000-260300-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1327
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0830 PM CDT THU JUN 25 2026
AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF THE EASTERN TEXAS PANHANDLE INTO
WESTERN AND CENTRAL OKLAHOMA
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 393...
VALID 260130Z - 260300Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 393
CONTINUES.
SUMMARY...THE RISK FOR PRIMARILY DAMAGING WIND GUSTS WILL EXPAND
EASTWARD FROM THE EASTERN TEXAS PANHANDLE/WESTERN OKLAHOMA INTO
CENTRAL OKLAHOMA OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS.
DISCUSSION...A CONVECTIVE COMPLEX CONTINUES TO EVOLVE ACROSS THE
EASTERN TEXAS PANHANDLE/FAR WESTERN OKLAHOMA AS OF 0130 UTC, WITH A
MIXED MODE OF CLUSTERS/SUPERCELLS NOTED VIA REGIONAL RADAR IMAGERY.
WHILE THESE STORMS HAVE BEEN SLOW TO CONSOLIDATE THUS FAR, CONTINUED
COLD POOL DEVELOPMENT HAS YIELDED A MORE APPRECIABLE FORWARD
ACCELERATION OVER THE PAST 30-60 MINUTES. LOW-LEVEL INHIBITION HAS
BEGUN TO INCREASE WITH THE LOSS OF DIURNAL HEATING, BUT A
STRENGTHENING SOUTHERLY, LOW-LEVEL JET AND EFFECTIVE SHEAR AROUND
35-40 KTS SHOULD HELP SUSTAIN THIS CLUSTER AS IT PROGRESSES
SOUTHEASTWARD OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS. THE PRIMARY THREAT WILL
BE FOR DAMAGING WIND GUSTS (WITH A SIGNIFICANT GUST OR TWO POSSIBLE,
PRIMARILY IN THE NEAR-TERM). ISOLATED LARGE HAIL AND PERHAPS A BRIEF
TORNADO ALSO CANNOT BE RULED OUT, ESPECIALLY ALONG THE
SOUTHERN/SOUTHWESTERN FLANK OF THE COMPLEX WHERE SEMI-DISCRETE
SUPERCELL STRUCTURES HAVE BEEN MAINTAINED. A DOWNSTREAM SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM WATCH OR EXTENSION OF WW393 WILL EVENTUALLY BE NEEDED.
..CHALMERS/MOSIER.. 06/26/2026
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
ATTN...WFO...OUN...AMA...
LAT...LON 35630033 36029971 36089961 36219921 36149868 35959807
35759766 35429722 35079717 34719734 34419790 34369868
34549944 34809996 35220041 35450044 35630033
MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 90 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN
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