409
ACUS11 KWNS 271948
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 271948
NCZ000-VAZ000-SCZ000-GAZ000-272145-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1351
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0248 PM CDT SAT JUN 27 2026
AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF THE WESTERN CAROLINAS
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY
VALID 271948Z - 272145Z
PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 PERCENT
SUMMARY...CLUSTERS OF STORMS MAY PRODUCE SPORADIC DAMAGING GUSTS
THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE WESTERN CAROLINAS. A WATCH IS
NOT ANTICIPATED.
DISCUSSION...CLUSTERS OF THUNDERSTORMS ARE ONGOING ACROSS PORTIONS
OF THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS THIS AFTERNOON. THESE STORMS ARE NEAR A
SUBTLE MID-LEVEL JET MAX AS SAMPLED BY THE KMRX VWP. ADDITIONALLY,
SHORT-TERM RAP PROFILES IN THE AREA SHOW A REASONABLY MOIST
ATMOSPHERE GIVEN THE LOCATION AND TIME OF YEAR, WITH SOME DRIER
BOUNDARY LAYER AIR NEAR THE MOUNTAINS. THE ENHANCED MID-LEVEL FLOW
PROVIDES ENOUGH SHEAR (25-30 KTS) TO ORGANIZE THE CONVECTION INTO
LINE SEGMENTS AS SEEN ON REGIONAL WSR-88D. A FEW OF THESE LINE
SEGMENTS HAVE PRODUCED GUSTS NEAR OR ABOVE 40 KT OVER THE LAST HOUR
OR SO. THESE STORMS MAY PRODUCE OCCASIONAL SPORADIC DAMAGING GUSTS
AS THEY MOVE EASTWARD, AND A WATCH IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME,
HOWEVER, TRENDS WILL BE MONITORED.
..SUPINIE/GUYER.. 06/27/2026
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
ATTN...WFO...RAH...RNK...CAE...GSP...
LAT...LON 35828198 36388125 36588080 36528013 36347982 35768017
35078042 34238090 33808139 33798201 34008259 34648259
35348243 35828198
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
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