359
ACUS11 KWNS 272022
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 272021
TXZ000-NMZ000-272245-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1352
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0321 PM CDT SAT JUN 27 2026
AREAS AFFECTED...THE TEXAS PANHANDLE INTO SOUTHWEST TEXAS
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY
VALID 272021Z - 272245Z
PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...5 PERCENT
SUMMARY...THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF ISOLATED SEVERE WIND GUSTS OF
60-70+ MPH APPEAR POSSIBLE LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO EARLY EVENING.
THE LIMITED AREAL COVERAGE OF THE THREAT PRECLUDES A WATCH ISSUANCE.
DISCUSSION...LATEST RADAR AND SATELLITE DATA INDICATE DEEPENING
CUMULUS WITHIN LOCALIZED CONFLUENT ZONES OVER THE NORTHERN AND
SOUTHERN TX PANHANDLE, AS WELL AS ALONG THE DAVIS MOUNTAINS IN
SOUTHWEST TX. ADDITIONAL MID/HIGH-LEVEL CLOUDINESS APPEARS TO BE
ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK DISTURBANCE MOVING THROUGH THE REGION, WHICH
MAY AID IN ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED STORM DEVELOPMENT AMIDST AN
OTHERWISE WEAKLY CONFLUENT SURFACE REGIME. MODIFICATION OF THE 18Z
MAF SOUNDING FOR CURRENT SURFACE CONDITIONS YIELDS AROUND 1500 J/KG
OF SBCAPE WITH A 3-4 KM DEEP, DRY SUB-CLOUD LAYER. VERTICAL SHEAR IS
WEAK, WHICH SHOULD LIMIT THE POTENTIAL FOR STORM ORGANIZATION AND
DURATION. NONETHELESS, THE THERMODYNAMIC ENVIRONMENT APPEARS
SUPPORTIVE OF ISOLATED SEVERE WIND GUSTS OF 60-70+ MPH.
..MEAD/GUYER.. 06/27/2026
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
ATTN...WFO...LUB...AMA...MAF...ABQ...
LAT...LON 34620284 35580265 36140225 36410137 36150063 34460028
33180110 31870193 30900259 29950325 30030400 30510425
31750395 34620284
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH
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