966
ACUS11 KWNS 272159
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 272159
NCZ000-272300-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1354
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0459 PM CDT SAT JUN 27 2026
AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 404...
VALID 272159Z - 272300Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 404
CONTINUES.
SUMMARY...THE POTENTIAL FOR OCCASIONALLY DAMAGING WIND GUSTS
CONTINUES ACROSS PORTIONS OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 404,
INCLUDING EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA.
DISCUSSION...ONGOING THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY HAS CONGEALED INTO A
CONVECTIVE CLUSTER EXTENDING FROM NEAR NEW BERN, NC, INTO THE
NORTHERN OUTER BANKS, WITH A COUPLE OF WIND GUSTS MEASURED IN THE
40-45 MPH RANGE OVER THE PAST 1-2 HOURS. WHILE WEAK EFFECTIVE SHEAR
(GENERALLY 25 KTS OR LESS) WILL CONTINUE TO LIMIT STORM
ORGANIZATION, AROUND 1500-2000 J/KG MLCAPE AND A VERY MOIST AIR MASS
(PWAT VALUES OF 2+ INCHES) WILL CONTINUE TO PROMOTE WATER-LOADED
DOWNDRAFTS CAPABLE OF STRONG TO OCCASIONALLY DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AS
THIS CLUSTER PROGRESSES EASTWARD BEFORE EVENTUALLY MOVING OFFSHORE.
LOCALLY GREATER POTENTIAL MAY EXIST ALONG THE NORTHERN PORTIONS OF
THE CLUSTER WHERE THE LATEST OBJECTIVE ANALYSIS SUGGESTS THAT
MID-LEVEL FLOW AND EFFECTIVE SHEAR ARE MARGINALLY GREATER.
..CHALMERS.. 06/27/2026
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
ATTN...WFO...AKQ...MHX...
LAT...LON 35137539 35107546 35037567 34937591 34857606 34817627
34797662 34857705 34877738 34957753 35167752 35457723
35847668 36257615 36377581 36317562 36127547 35827528
35457523 35127532 35137539
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH
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