764
ACUS11 KWNS 281851
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 281850
NCZ000-SCZ000-VAZ000-GAZ000-282045-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1367
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0150 PM CDT SUN JUN 28 2026
AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF THE CAROLINAS AND FAR EASTERN GEORGIA
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY
VALID 281850Z - 282045Z
PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 PERCENT
SUMMARY...A FEW DAMAGING GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS
PORTIONS OF THE CAROLINAS AND FAR EASTERN GEORGIA. A WATCH IS NOT
ANTICIPATED, THOUGH TRENDS WILL BE MONITORED.
DISCUSSION...A SUBTLE MID-LEVEL WAVE IS TRAVERSING GENERALLY WEAK
WEST-NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS, LEADING TO
A WEAK SURFACE LOW PRESSURE IN CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA. THESE ARE
SERVING AS FOCUSES FOR THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT THIS AFTERNOON
ACROSS THE CAROLINAS. AHEAD OF THESE STORMS, A VERY DEEP, MOIST AIR
MASS IS IN PLACE, WITH PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES NEAR OR ABOVE 2 IN
ACROSS THE REGION, AND THIS MAY CONTRIBUTE TO A THREAT FOR DAMAGING
GUSTS THIS AFTERNOON DUE TO WATER-LOADING IN DOWNDRAFTS. HOWEVER,
GENERALLY WESTERLY SURFACE WINDS SHOULD RESULT IN WEAK CONVERGENCE
AND WEAK SHEAR, LEADING TO POORLY-ORGANIZED CONVECTION. AS SUCH,
DAMAGING GUSTS ARE CURRENTLY EXPECTED TO REMAIN TOO SPORADIC TO
JUSTIFY A WATCH, THOUGH TRENDS WILL BE MONITORED.
..SUPINIE/GUYER.. 06/28/2026
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
ATTN...WFO...AKQ...MHX...RAH...ILM...RNK...CHS...CAE...GSP...
FFC...
LAT...LON 35148338 36448019 36597898 36337802 36177741 35517683
34717734 33398026 33338203 33708278 34518358 34738362
35148338
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
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