802
ACUS11 KWNS 292025
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 292024
MIZ000-WIZ000-292230-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1383
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0324 PM CDT MON JUN 29 2026
AREAS AFFECTED...THE WESTERN U.P. OF MICHIGAN
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE
VALID 292024Z - 292230Z
PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...60 PERCENT
SUMMARY...THE POTENTIAL FOR AT LEAST ISOLATED OCCURRENCES OF SEVERE
WIND GUSTS IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN THE 2100-2130Z (4:00-4:30 PM
CDT) TIME FRAME. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IS POSSIBLE.
DISCUSSION...AS OF 2020Z, A LONG-LIVED BOWING MCS WAS PROGRESSING
THROUGH FAR WESTERN LAKE SUPERIOR AT AROUND 45 KT. EXTRAPOLATION OF
THE CURRENT MOTION TAKES IT INTO THE WESTERN U.P. OF MI AND ADJACENT
NEAR-SHORE WATERS BETWEEN 2100-2130Z. THE MCS IS LOCATED TO THE
NORTH OF A WARM FRONT LIFTING NORTH THROUGH NORTHERN WI, SUGGESTING
THAT IT MIGHT BE SLIGHTLY ELEVATED ATOP A SHALLOW NEAR-GROUND
INVERSION. NONETHELESS, THE PRESENCE OF A STRONG REAR-INFLOW JET
WILL SUPPORT THE POTENTIAL FOR AT LEAST ISOLATED SEVERE WIND GUSTS
LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO EARLY EVENING.
..MEAD/GUYER.. 06/29/2026
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
ATTN...WFO...MQT...DLH...
LAT...LON 46869061 47328936 47488796 46608794 46228838 46318927
46469014 46609068 46869061
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN
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