809
ACUS11 KWNS 301848
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 301847
GAZ000-FLZ000-ALZ000-302015-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1397
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0147 PM CDT TUE JUN 30 2026
AREAS AFFECTED...THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...SOUTHERN/EASTERN
ALABAMA...AND FAR WESTERN GEORGIA.
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY
VALID 301847Z - 302015Z
PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...5 PERCENT
SUMMARY...A FEW STRONG TO ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS ARE POSSIBLE THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
DISCUSSION...VERY STRONG INSTABILITY (3000-3500 J/KG MLCAPE PER SPC
MESOANALYSIS) HAS DEVELOPED ACROSS ALABAMA AND GEORGIA WHERE
DEWPOINTS ARE IN THE MID 70S WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE LOW TO MID
90S. LAPSE RATES ARE QUITE WEAK, BUT WITH MINIMAL INHIBITION AND
VERY STRONG INSTABILITY, ROBUST UPDRAFTS ARE ANTICIPATED. DEEP-LAYER
SHEAR IS QUITE WEAK WHICH WILL LIMIT STORM ORGANIZATION SOMEWHAT.
HOWEVER, THERE IS A STRONGER BELT OF FLOW (25-30 KNOTS) SAMPLED BY
THE MXX VWP BETWEEN 4 AND 6 KM. THIS MAY ASSIST IN SOME STORM
ORGANIZATION IN AN OTHERWISE UNFAVORABLE DEEP-LAYER SHEAR
ENVIRONMENT.
THIS COMBINATION OF INSTABILITY AND SOME MID-LEVEL FLOW MAY RESULT
IN A FEW MULTICELL STORMS CAPABLE OF DAMAGING WIND GUSTS. HOWEVER, A
MORE ORGANIZED SEVERE WEATHER THREAT IS NOT ANTICIPATED AND
THEREFORE, NO WATCH IS EXPECTED.
..BENTLEY/GUYER.. 06/30/2026
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
ATTN...WFO...FFC...TAE...BMX...MOB...
LAT...LON 30098566 32188497 33188419 33768418 33948491 33828596
33778602 33308712 32418756 31278830 30398824 30158807
30098566
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH
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