922
FNUS22 KWNS 011936
FWDDY2
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0235 PM CDT WED JUL 01 2026
VALID 021200Z - 031200Z
..CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR EASTERN UTAH
WESTERN/SOUTHERN
COLORADO...AND NORTH-CENTRAL NEW MEXICO...
..AFTERNOON UPDATE
NO CHANGES WERE MADE TO THE ONGOING FORECAST. EXCEPTIONALLY DRY
FUELS, ADVERSE WEATHER CONDITIONS, AND AGGRESSIVE FIRE BEHAVIOR (AS
SEEN ON MULTIPLE LARGE FIRES) ARE CATEGORIZED BY TWO FUELS AND FIRE
BEHAVIOR ADVISORIES ISSUED ACROSS MUCH OF CO AND UT, FAR SOUTHERN
WY, THE AZ STRIP, AND EASTERN NV. THE ELEVATED AND CRITICAL FIRE
WEATHER RISK AREAS CURRENTLY OVERLAP PORTIONS OF THESE ADVISORIES. A
FEW HIGH-BASED THUNDERSHOWERS MAY DEVELOP ON DAY 2/THURSDAY
AFTERNOON ACROSS NORTHEAST NV, NORTHERN UT, AND SOUTHEASTERN ID AS A
SHORTWAVE TROUGH PASSES OVER THE REGION. FORECAST SOUNDINGS DEPICT A
DRY SUB-CLOUD LAYER, 0.3-0.5" PWATS, AND 100-400 J/KG MUCAPE. THE
LIMITING FACTORS FOR CONVECTIVE INITIATION ARE LESS THAN FAVORABLE
MID-LEVEL MOISTURE AND MISALIGNED TIMING OF THE UPPER SHORTWAVE
TROUGH; HOWEVER, A LIGHTNING IGNITION CANNOT BE RULED OUT WITH ANY
STORM THAT MANAGES TO DEVELOP NEAR DRY FUELS. SEE THE PREVIOUS
DISCUSSION FOR MORE INFORMATION.
..ELIZALDE-GARCIA.. 07/01/2026
PREV DISCUSSION
/ISSUED 0109 AM CDT WED JUL 01 2026/
..SYNOPSIS
UPPER-LEVEL TROUGHING WILL CONTINUE OVER THE WEST, WITH SOUTHWEST
MID-LEVEL FLOW OF 20-35 KNOTS CONTINUING OVER THE GREATER FOUR
CORNERS REGION. WHILE UPPER-LEVEL TROUGHING WILL CONTINUE, HEIGHTS
WILL RISE SLIGHTLY OVER MUCH OF THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST. WEAK LEE
TROUGHING WILL ALSO CONTINUE ON THE HIGH PLAINS.
..GREATER FOUR CORNERS REGION
ANOTHER DAY OF DRY/WINDY CONDITIONS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE GREATER
FOUR CORNERS REGION. SOUTH-SOUTHWEST SUSTAINED WINDS OF 12-20 MPH
WITH GUSTS OF 20-35 MPH AMID MINIMUM RH OF 3-15% IS EXPECTED AS
ELEVATED/LOCALLY CRITICAL CONDITIONS BEGIN BY LATE MORNING AND
CONTINUE INTO THE EVENING. POOR RH RECOVERY AND THE 6-14 HOURS OF
ELEVATED TO CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL LEAD TO EXTENDED
BURN PERIODS AGAIN AS THE VERY TO RECORD DRY FUELS CONTINUE TO CURE.
ISOLATED HIGH-BASED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY ACROSS
PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST NEVADA AND NORTHWEST UTAH. HOWEVER,
UNCERTAINTY REMAINS ON IF THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP FAR ENOUGH
SOUTH OVER MORE RECEPTIVE FUELS, THUS PRECLUDING INTRODUCING AN
ISODRYT AREA FOR NOW.
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
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