806
ACUS11 KWNS 012053
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 012052
GAZ000-ALZ000-012245-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1425
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0352 PM CDT WED JUL 01 2026
AREAS AFFECTED...NORTHEAST ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST GEORGIA
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 430...
VALID 012052Z - 012245Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 430
CONTINUES.
SUMMARY...AN ENVIRONMENT FAVORABLE FOR STRONG/SEVERE DOWNBURST WINDS
REMAINS IN PLACE ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST
GEORGIA.
DISCUSSION...OVER THE PAST COUPLE OF HOURS, THE HIGHEST
CONCENTRATION OF THUNDERSTORMS HAS LARGELY REMAINED ACROSS
NORTH-CENTRAL TO NORTHWEST AL WITH AN EXPANDING COLD POOL NOTED IN
RECENT SURFACE OBSERVATIONS AND RTMA ANALYSES. TO THE EAST OF THIS
AREA, MORE ISOLATED CONVECTION HAS LARGELY LEFT THE ENVIRONMENT
ACROSS NORTHEAST AL INTO NORTHWEST GA LARGELY INTACT WITH
TEMPERATURES REMAINING IN THE MID 90S, LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES NEAR 8
C/KM, AND MLCAPE VALUES BETWEEN 3500-4000 J/KG. A THUNDERSTORM
CLUSTER WEST OF THE ATLANTA METRO HAS RECENTLY DEMONSTRATED AN
UPTICK IN INTENSITY (PER GOES IR IMAGERY AND LIGHTNING TRENDS),
WHICH CONFIRMS THAT THIS ENVIRONMENT REMAINS FAVORABLE FOR ROBUST
DEEP CONVECTION. WHILE IT REMAINS UNCLEAR EXACTLY HOW WIDESPREAD
THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE WILL BECOME THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS, THE
POTENTIAL FOR STRONG TO SEVERE DOWNBURSTS AND CLUSTERING/UPSCALE
GROWTH REMAINS ACROSS EASTERN PORTIONS OF WW 430.
..MOORE.. 07/01/2026
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
ATTN...WFO...FFC...BMX...HUN...
LAT...LON 34938532 34988434 34868384 34258359 33708385 33348435
32898512 32818543 32898575 33048597 33488610 34188624
34468624 34668606 34818571 34938532
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN
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