281
ACUS11 KWNS 020328
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 020328
WIZ000-IAZ000-MNZ000-020500-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1433
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1028 PM CDT WED JUL 01 2026
AREAS AFFECTED...FAR SOUTHEAST MN...FAR NORTHEAST IA...AND
WESTERN/CENTRAL WI
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 434...
VALID 020328Z - 020500Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 434
CONTINUES.
SUMMARY...THE POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGING WIND GUSTS CONTINUES ACROSS
PARTS OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 434, ESPECIALLY OVER PARTS OF
WESTERN WISCONSIN AND VICINITY IN THE NEAR TERM. CONVECTIVE TRENDS
ARE BEING MONITORED FOR A POSSIBLE DOWNSTREAM WATCH.
DISCUSSION...THE LATEST RADAR DATA FROM ARX DEPICTS GRADUAL
ORGANIZATION/INTENSIFICATION OF A SMALL NORTH/SOUTH-ORIENTED
CONVECTIVE CLUSTER MOVING EASTWARD ACROSS FAR SOUTHEAST MN AND
NORTHEAST IA. THESE STORMS WILL CONTINUE TRACKING ALONG/IMMEDIATELY
SOUTH OF A SURFACE BOUNDARY/WIND SHIFT, GENERALLY DEMARCATED BY A
BAND OF ELEVATED THUNDERSTORMS. TO THE SOUTH OF THE BOUNDARY, A
WARM/MOIST PBL AND AROUND 35 KT OF UNIDIRECTIONAL 0-3 KM SHEAR (PER
ARX VWP) MAY SUPPORT A LOCALLY FAVORABLE CORRIDOR FOR DAMAGING WINDS
WITH THIS CLUSTER OF STORMS AND ANY NEW DEVELOPMENT ALONG/SOUTH OF
THE BOUNDARY WITH EASTWARD EXTENT. CONVECTIVE TRENDS ARE BEING
MONITORED FOR A POSSIBLE DOWNSTREAM WATCH.
..WEINMAN.. 07/02/2026
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
ATTN...WFO...GRB...MKX...ARX...
LAT...LON 43139029 43099149 43189182 43589180 43869150 44129062
44238945 44098892 43768880 43378896 43139029
MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 90 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN
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