434
ACUS11 KWNS 021626
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 021626
WIZ000-MNZ000-021800-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1437
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1126 AM CDT THU JUL 02 2026
AREAS AFFECTED...SOUTH-CENTRAL INTO EAST-CENTRAL MINNESOTA
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY
VALID 021626Z - 021800Z
PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 PERCENT
SUMMARY...A WIND THREAT IS INCREASING ACROSS SOUTHERN MINNESOTA,
EAST-CENTRAL MINNESOTA, AND FAR WESTERN WISCONSIN INTO THE EARLY
AFTERNOON.
DISCUSSION...A CLUSTER OF STORMS HAS DEVELOPED ON THE NOSE OF A
500MB JET STREAK ACROSS SOUTHERN MINNESOTA, DRIVEN BY STRONG
ELEVATED INSTABILITY (2000-3000 J/KG MUCAPE PER SPC MESOANALYSIS).
WHILE THIS CLUSTER DOES NOT LOOK OVERLY INTENSE AT THIS TIME, IT
DOES HAVE SOME BOWING ELEMENT TO IT. THE DOWNSTREAM ENVIRONMENT
REMAINS UNSTABLE AND SOME HEATING ACROSS CENTRAL AND EAST-CENTRAL
MINNESOTA MAY LEAD TO INCREASING SURFACE BASED INSTABILITY.
THEREFORE, THIS CLUSTER MAY POSE SOME WIND THREAT AS IT MOVES
NORTHEAST INTO THE EARLY AFTERNOON.
..BENTLEY/HART.. 07/02/2026
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
ATTN...WFO...DLH...MPX...FSD...
LAT...LON 43799435 44029520 45499444 46009329 45569286 44949274
44349353 43799435
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN
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