451
ACUS03 KWNS 021921
SWODY3
SPC AC 021920
DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0220 PM CDT THU JUL 02 2026
VALID 041200Z - 051200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM EASTERN
COLORADO INTO WESTERN KANSAS...AND FROM EASTERN OHIO/WEST VIRGINIA
EASTWARD ACROSS THE I-95 CORRIDOR...
..SUMMARY
SCATTERED STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE FROM THE CENTRAL PLAINS INTO THE
MIDWEST AND MID-ATLANTIC THIS FOURTH OF JULY (SATURDAY). THE
GREATEST CONCENTRATION OF STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS WILL BE WITHIN
PORTIONS OF THE MID-ATLANTIC, AND OVER PARTS OF THE CENTRAL PLAINS
LATE.
..PARTS OF THE MID ATLANTIC
STRONGER MID TO HIGH LEVEL WINDS EXIST OVER THE NORTHEAST, THOUGH 30
KT AT 500 MB WILL EXTEND AS FAR SOUTH AS MARYLAND. A SURFACE TROUGH
WILL DEEPEN DURING THE DAY NEAR THE I-90 CORRIDOR, WHERE 70S F
DEWPOINTS WILL CONTRIBUTE TO MODERATE INSTABILITY. STORMS MAY
DEVELOP BOTH WITHIN THE INSTABILITY PLUME FROM OH INTO PA, AND
WITHIN THE HEATED SURFACE TROUGH FROM VA INTO PA/NJ. STRONG WIND
GUSTS WILL BE COMMON, WITH SOME SEVERE/DAMAGING GUSTS LIKELY LATE
AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY EVENING DURING PEAK HEATING.
..CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS
SCATTERED STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS MAY DEVELOP NEAR THE FRONT RANGE
AS SURFACE WINDS BACK TO EASTERLY LATE IN THE DAY. THIS WILL BRING
MOISTURE WESTWARD TOWARD THE HIGHER TERRAIN, WITH MOST MODELS
SHOWING A FEW CELLS DEVELOPING LATE AFTERNOON WITH LOCALIZED HAIL
AND WIND POTENTIAL. GOOD DIRECTION SHEAR AND STEEP LAPSE RATES ALOFT
WILL FAVOR LARGE HAIL. STORMS MAY THEN PERSIST INTO WESTERN NE AND
KS, WITH POTENTIAL AREAS OF SEVERE WIND GUSTS.
..JEWELL.. 07/02/2026
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