469
ACUS03 KWNS 031928
SWODY3
SPC AC 031927
DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0227 PM CDT FRI JUL 03 2026
VALID 051200Z - 061200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF THE
MID ATLANTIC REGION...
..SUMMARY
DEVELOPING THUNDERSTORM CLUSTERS MAY POSE A RISK FOR DAMAGING WIND
GUSTS ACROSS PARTS OF THE MID ATLANTIC AND PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN
GREAT PLAINS SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS
MAY AFFECT NORTHERN NORTH DAKOTA LATE.
..MID ATLANTIC STATES
ALTHOUGH WIND FIELDS ALOFT WILL WEAKEN COMPARED TO THE PREVIOUS DAY
AS THE UPPER TROUGH LIFTS OUT OF THE NORTHEAST, UPPER 60S TO LOW 70S
F DEWPOINTS WILL REMAIN OVER MUCH OF THE REGION. AFTERNOON STORMS
ARE LIKELY TO DEVELOP FROM PA SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE APPALACHIANS, AND
THESE WILL MOVE EASTWARD INTO A ZONE OF STRONG HEATING/STEEP
LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES INTO MD/VA. GUSTY WINDS ARE LIKELY, SOME
DAMAGING THROUGH THE EVENING.
..NORTHEAST NM INTO NORTHWEST TX
EAST TO SOUTHEAST SURFACE WINDS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE SOUTHERN
PLAINS ON SUNDAY, WHICH WILL AID WESTWARD MOISTURE ADVECTION INTO
NM. SHEAR WILL BE WEAK, BUT SOUTHEASTWARD-PROPAGATING CLUSTERS OF
STORMS APPEAR LIKELY LATE IN THE DAY AND INTO THE NIGHT AS STORMS
MOVE INTO TX. SPORADIC SEVERE GUSTS MAY OCCUR.
..NORTHERN ND
A SUBSTANTIAL UPPER TROUGH WILL MOVE INTO THE CANADIAN PRAIRIES LATE
ON SUNDAY, WITH THE BASE OF THIS TROUGH SWEEPING ACROSS MT AND ND
OVERNIGHT. A COLD FRONT WILL DEVELOP INTO FAR EASTERN MT AND WESTERN
ND LATE IN THE DAY, PROCEEDING TOWARD THE RED RIVER BY MONDAY
MORNING. FORECAST SOUNDINGS SHOW MODERATE INSTABILITY DEVELOPING,
WITH VEERING WINDS WITH HEIGHT AND HODOGRAPHS FAVORABLE FOR
SLOW-MOVING SUPERCELLS. AIDING ANY SUCH DEVELOPMENT INTO THE NIGHT
WILL BE A NOCTURNAL LOW-LEVEL JET. ISOLATED LARGE HAIL APPEARS MOST
LIKELY.
..JEWELL.. 07/03/2026
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