592
ACUS11 KWNS 032141
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 032141
NEZ000-COZ000-032345-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1473
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0441 PM CDT FRI JUL 03 2026
AREAS AFFECTED...NORTHWEST AND NORTH-CENTRAL NEBRASKA
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE
VALID 032141Z - 032345Z
PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...60 PERCENT
SUMMARY...ISOLATED SEVERE WIND GUSTS AND HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE
ACROSS PARTS OF NORTHWEST AND NORTH-CENTRAL NEBRASKA THIS EVENING.
ADDITIONAL WEATHER WATCH ISSUANCE MAY BE NEEDED.
DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS ARE CURRENTLY DEVELOPING ALONG AN AXIS OF
MODERATE INSTABILITY THAT EXTENDS NORTHWARD FROM NORTHWEST NEBRASKA
INTO SOUTHWEST SOUTH DAKOTA. THE STORMS APPEAR TO BE SUPPORTED BY A
MID-LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH EVIDENT ON WATER VAPOR IMAGERY. DUE TO
LARGE-SCALE ASCENT, CONVECTIVE COVERAGE IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE OVER
THE NEXT FEW HOURS. IN ADDITION, THE RAPID CITY WSR-88D VWP HAS 0-6
KM SHEAR AROUND 40 KNOTS. THIS, COMBINED WITH STEEP LAPSE RATES IN
THE LOW TO MID-LEVELS, WILL SUPPORT A SEVERE THREAT THIS EVENING.
SUPERCELLS SHOULD BE CAPABLE OF ISOLATED LARGE HAIL AND SEVERE WIND
GUSTS. SEVERE GUSTS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE WITH SHORT INTENSE LINE
SEGMENTS. FURTHER SOUTHWEST, STORMS ARE ONGOING IN FAR SOUTHEAST
WYOMING. THESE CELLS ARE FORECAST TO REMAIN INTACT, MOVING EASTWARD
ACROSS WESTERN NEBRASKA OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS. SEVERE WIND GUSTS
AND HAIL WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE IN AND NEAR THE STRONGER CORES.
..BROYLES/GLEASON.. 07/03/2026
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
ATTN...WFO...LBF...BOU...CYS...
LAT...LON 42950241 42850303 42530354 41890395 41450401 41120388
40990366 40960321 40970181 41110117 41300083 41580063
42030051 42530060 42770084 42900118 42950154 42950241
MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 90 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN
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