751
ACUS11 KWNS 040238
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 040237
NEZ000-KSZ000-COZ000-040430-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1485
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0937 PM CDT FRI JUL 03 2026
AREAS AFFECTED...CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA...FAR NORTHEAST
COLORADO
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 450...
VALID 040237Z - 040430Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 450
CONTINUES.
SUMMARY...A THREAT FOR SEVERE WIND GUSTS AND ISOLATED LARGE HAIL
WILL LIKELY CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS. AS STORMS MOVE
EASTWARD INTO SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA, A WATCH EXTENSION IN AREA MAY BE
NEEDED.
DISCUSSION...THE LATEST RADAR IMAGERY SHOWS A COUPLE OF INTENSE
STORMS OVER THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS. THE FIRST STORM IS IN
WEST-CENTRAL NEBRASKA WITH THE SECOND IN FAR NORTHEAST COLORADO.
THESE STORMS ARE LOCATED NEAR A SHORTWAVE TROUGH EVIDENT ON WATER
VAPOR IMAGERY, WHICH IS PROVIDING LARGE-SCALE ASCENT HELPING TO
SUSTAIN THE STORMS. AHEAD OF THE STORMS, A MODERATELY UNSTABLE
AIRMASS IS LOCATED ACROSS MUCH OF SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL NEBRASKA,
WHERE THE RAP HAS MLCAPE IN THE 2000 TO 3500 J/KG RANGE. IN
ADDITION, THE NORTH PLATTE WSR-88D VWP HAS 0-6 KM SHEAR AROUND 40
KNOTS. THIS WILL SUPPORT SUPERCELL MAINTENANCE LATE THIS EVENING.
SUPERCELLS SHOULD BE CAPABLE OF ISOLATED LARGE HAIL AND SEVERE WIND
GUSTS. AS THE STORMS IN FAR NORTHEAST COLORADO MOVE EASTWARD INTO
SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA LATER THIS EVENING, A WATCH EXTENSION IN AREA MAY
NEED TO BE CONSIDERED.
..BROYLES.. 07/04/2026
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
ATTN...WFO...GID...LBF...GLD...BOU...
LAT...LON 41939990 42170055 42240119 42110170 41550200 41050240
40760285 40620311 40180322 40030297 39960257 39960198
40120098 40460007 40859965 41169949 41589956 41939990
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN
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