723
ACUS11 KWNS 040824
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 040823
KSZ000-NEZ000-COZ000-041000-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1488
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0323 AM CDT SAT JUL 04 2026
AREAS AFFECTED...FAR NORTHEAST CO INTO NORTHWEST KS
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 453...
VALID 040823Z - 041000Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 453
CONTINUES.
SUMMARY...LOCALIZED SEVERE GUSTS AND ISOLATED HAIL REMAIN POSSIBLE
THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING.
DISCUSSION...EARLIER INTENSE SUPERCELLS HAVE EVOLVED INTO A SMALL
BOWING SEGMENT ACROSS FAR NORTHEAST CO AS OF 0815 UTC. THIS SMALL
CLUSTER HAS A HISTORY OF PRODUCING OBSERVED SEVERE GUSTS, AND MAY
CONTINUE TO POSE A SEVERE-WIND AND ISOLATED HAIL THREAT AS IT MOVES
INTO FAR NORTHWEST KS. EXTENSIVE DOWNSTREAM CONVECTION NEAR AND
SOUTHEAST OF GOODLAND MAY EVENTUALLY LIMIT THE LONGEVITY AND EASTERN
EXTENT OF THE SEVERE THREAT OF THIS CLUSTER. THE STRONGEST STORMS
WITHIN THE WARM-ADVECTION REGIME MAY ALSO POSE A THREAT FOR ISOLATED
HAIL AND LOCALIZED STRONG TO SEVERE GUSTS, GIVEN THE PRESENCE OF
MODERATE ELEVATED BUOYANCY AND SUFFICIENT EFFECTIVE SHEAR.
..DEAN.. 07/04/2026
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
ATTN...WFO...DDC...GLD...
LAT...LON 40040219 40010117 39900018 39370001 38969994 38680008
38510022 38590129 38750201 38880245 39270263 40040219
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN
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