952
ACUS11 KWNS 042255
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 042255
TXZ000-050000-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1504
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0555 PM CDT SAT JUL 04 2026
AREAS AFFECTED...THE TEXAS PANHANDLE AND SOUTH PLAINS
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 458...
VALID 042255Z - 050000Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 458
CONTINUES.
SUMMARY...LARGE HAIL AND SEVERE OUTFLOW GUST THREAT WILL REMAIN
FOCUSED ALONG A COMBINED FRONT/OUTFLOW ACROSS THE TEXAS PANHANDLE,
WITH THE POTENTIAL TO CLEAR THE WATCH EARLY INTO THE SOUTH PLAINS.
DISCUSSION...STORM DEVELOPMENT HAS REMAINED CONFINED TO THE SURFACE
FRONT WHICH HAS BEEN REINFORCED BY OUTFLOW ACROSS THE TX PANHANDLE,
IMMEDIATELY NORTH-THROUGH-NORTHEAST OF AMARILLO. THE RICHER
LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE AND STRONGER BUOYANCY IS CONFINED TO THIS SAME
ZONE, WHERE DEEP-LAYER NORTHWESTERLY SHEAR IS ALLOWING STORMS WITH
SUPERCELL STRUCTURE TO DEVELOP WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD ALONG THE
BOUNDARY. FARTHER SOUTH, MOISTURE AND TEMPERATURES ARE REDUCED
BENEATH SUBSTANTIAL ANVIL SHADING FROM THE CONVECTION IN EASTERN NM.
THE POTENTIAL FOR ADDITIONAL STORM DEVELOPMENT INTO THE SOUTH
PLAINS APPEARS QUESTIONABLE, AND THIS PORTION OF THE WATCH COULD BE
CLEARED WELL BEFORE WATCH EXPIRATION.
..THOMPSON.. 07/04/2026
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
ATTN...WFO...AMA...
LAT...LON 35880139 36050070 36200019 35980007 35670048 35400110
35310161 35260201 35390220 35610225 35710200 35880139
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN
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