200
ACUS11 KWNS 050025
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 050024
NEZ000-KSZ000-COZ000-050200-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1506
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0724 PM CDT SAT JUL 04 2026
AREAS AFFECTED...CENTRAL NEBRASKA INTO EXTREME NORTHEAST COLORADO
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 461...
VALID 050024Z - 050200Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 461
CONTINUES.
SUMMARY...A STORM CLUSTER IN CENTRAL NEBRASKA WILL CONTINUE
DEVELOPING SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD NEXT 1-2 HOURS WITH ISOLATED
STRONG-SEVERE WIND/HAIL. ADDITIONAL CLUSTER DEVELOPMENT IN EXTREME
NORTHEAST COLORADO COULD POSE SOME WIND/HAIL THREAT SOUTHWEST OF THE
CURRENT WATCH AREA.
DISCUSSION...STORMS IN CENTRAL NE HAVE GROWN INTO A SMALL CLUSTER
THAT IS DEVELOPING SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD ON OUTFLOW, WHILE NEWER
STORMS HAVE STRENGTHENED IN FAR NORTHEAST CO. THERE IS A SMALL
CONTRIBUTION TO ASCENT IN THE WATCH AREA AS A DIFFUSE MID-UPPER
TROUGH APPROACHES FROM THE NORTHWEST, AS WELL AS SOME ENHANCEMENT OF
NORTHWESTERLY MID-UPPER FLOW (25-30 KT). THE NE AND CO CLUSTERS
WILL POSE A THREAT FOR ISOLATED SEVERE OUTFLOW GUSTS AND LARGE HAIL
FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS. AFTER ABOUT 02-03Z, STORM LONGEVITY
COMES INTO QUESTION WITH AN INCREASE IN CONVECTIVE INHIBITION AND A
LACK OF A LOW-LEVEL JET. THUS, IT IS NOT CLEAR THAT ANY WATCH
EXTENSIONS OR A NEW WATCH INTO FAR NORTHEAST CO/NORTHWEST KS WILL BE
NECESSARY.
..THOMPSON.. 07/05/2026
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
ATTN...WFO...GID...LBF...GLD...BOU...
LAT...LON 41599999 42269868 41999841 41569858 41119926 40420072
39940134 39600206 39700278 39960285 40610244 40890205
41340099 41599999
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN
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