072
ACUS03 KWNS 061925
SWODY3
SPC AC 061924
DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0224 PM CDT MON JUL 06 2026
VALID 081200Z - 091200Z
...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE CENTRAL
PLAINS INTO THE UPPER MIDWEST...
..SUMMARY
CLUSTERS OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WITH POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE SEVERE
HAIL AND WIND MAY EVOLVE ACROSS PARTS OF THE UPPER MIDWEST INTO
CENTRAL GREAT PLAINS WEDNESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
..CENTRAL PLAINS INTO THE UPPER MIDWEST
A GENERALLY ZONAL PATTERN WILL EXIST ON WEDNESDAY, WITH VARIOUS
DISTURBANCES MOVING ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS TO GREAT LAKES. ONE
DISTURBANCE WILL AFFECT THE UPPER MS VALLEY TO GREAT LAKES DURING
THE DAY, WITH ANOTHER DEVELOPING LATE INTO THE NORTHERN HIGH PLAINS.
WITHIN THE ENTIRE ZONE, MIDLEVEL WESTERLIES WILL AVERAGE 30-35 KT.
IN THE LOW LEVELS, A FRONT SHOULD STRETCH FROM NEAR LAKE SUPERIOR
INTO CENTRAL NE, WHERE IT WILL STALL. WIDESPREAD MID TO UPPER 60S F
DEWPOINTS WILL REMAIN AHEAD OF THE FRONT, CONTRIBUTING TO 2000-3000
J/KG MUCAPE BY AFTERNOON.
EARLY ACTIVITY IS LIKELY MOVING OUT OF MN AND INTO WI, AND MAY
OVERTURN SOME OF THE AIR MASS AND PUSH THE EFFECTIVE BOUNDARY
AROUND. NEW DIURNAL STORMS ARE THEN LIKELY DURING THE AFTERNOON,
ROUGHLY FROM WI INTO SOUTHERN MN AND IA, WITH WIND AND HAIL
POTENTIAL.
FARTHER WEST, SCATTERED STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS ARE LIKELY ACROSS
THE HIGH PLAINS, WHERE STRONG HEATING AND STEEP LAPSE RATES WILL
FAVOR DEVELOPMENT BENEATH MODEST NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT. MOISTURE AND
INSTABILITY LOOK SUFFICIENT, BUT NOT OVERLAY STRONG, AND WILL
SUPPORT SCATTERED STRONG TO SEVERE GUSTS AND SOME HAIL.
..JEWELL.. 07/06/2026
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