283
ACUS11 KWNS 100444
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 100444
KSZ000-NEZ000-100615-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1571
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1144 PM CDT THU JUL 09 2026
AREAS AFFECTED...SOUTHWEST/SOUTH-CENTRAL NE INTO WESTERN/CENTRAL KS
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 478...
VALID 100444Z - 100615Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 478
CONTINUES.
SUMMARY...LOCALIZED SEVERE GUSTS AND PERHAPS ISOLATED HAIL MAY
CONTINUE INTO THE EARLY MORNING.
DISCUSSION...A CONVECTIVE LINE WITH A HISTORY OF PRODUCING SEVERE
GUSTS HAS SHOWN RECENT SIGNS OF WEAKENING ACROSS WESTERN KS. WITH
INCREASING CINH DOWNSTREAM INTO CENTRAL KS, A NOTABLE UPTICK IN
STORM ORGANIZATION IS NOT CURRENTLY ANTICIPATED. HOWEVER, GIVEN THE
PRESENCE OF A RELATIVELY WELL ESTABLISHED COLD POOL AND REAR-INFLOW
JET (NOTED ON THE KGLD VWP), STRONG TO LOCALIZED SEVERE GUSTS WILL
REMAIN POSSIBLE UNTIL A MORE DEFINITIVE WEAKENING TREND OCCURS.
FARTHER NORTH, MERGING OUTFLOWS HAVE RESULTED IN STORM
INTENSIFICATION NEAR NORTH PLATTE. ISOLATED HAIL MAY CONTINUE TO BE
A THREAT IN THE SHORT TERM WITH THIS STORM, WHILE LOCALIZED STRONG
TO SEVERE GUSTS MAY EVENTUALLY SPREAD INTO SOUTH-CENTRAL NE, WHERE
MODERATE BUOYANCY REMAINS IN PLACE.
..DEAN.. 07/10/2026
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
ATTN...WFO...ICT...GID...LBF...DDC...GLD...
LAT...LON 41390069 41730012 41079929 39939870 38899835 37739869
37789982 37860061 38310051 38980014 39840049 40790062
41390069
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN
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