986
FNUS22 KWNS 100625
FWDDY2
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0124 AM CDT FRI JUL 10 2026
VALID 111200Z - 121200Z
..SYNOPSIS
AN UPPER LEVEL LOW DEEPENING AND PROGRESSING TOWARDS COASTAL BRITISH
COLUMBIA WILL SERVE TO INTENSIFY THE HEIGHT GRADIENT WITH AN
UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE CENTERED OVER THE GREAT BASIN. DEEP BOUNDARY LAYER
MIXING BENEATH THIS UPPER JET STREAK WILL SUPPORT DRY AND BREEZY
CONDITIONS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST ON SATURDAY.
WIDESPREAD RELATIVE HUMIDITY OF 10-15% AND WINDS OF 15-20 MPH ARE
FORECAST ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN SIERRA NEVADAS INTO THE
CASCADES, AND THEN EASTWARD INTO PORTIONS OF IDAHO AND FAR
SOUTHWESTERN MONTANA. ERCS IN THE 80TH-90TH ANNUAL PERCENTILE RANGE
WITH THESE METEOROLOGICAL CONDITIONS WILL SUPPORT ELEVATED
FIRE-WEATHER CONCERNS ON SATURDAY AFTERNOON, WITH PERHAPS LOCALLY
CRITICAL CONDITIONS WHERE LOCAL TOPOGRAPHY SUPPORTS ENHANCEMENT OF
SURFACE WIND GUSTS.
THERE IS ALSO SOME FORECAST SIGNAL FOR DRY AND BREEZY CONDITIONS
ACROSS THE NORTHERN HIGH PLAINS, PARTICULARLY IN THE FAR WESTERN
DAKOTAS. SOME FORECAST GUIDANCE SHOWS 15-20 MPH WINDS WITH
RELATIVELY DRY BOUNDARY LAYER CONDITIONS. HOWEVER, THERE IS
SIGNIFICANT FORECAST SPREAD IN JUST HOW DRY THE SURFACE CONDITIONS
WILL BE, AND THE REGION IS IN A GRADIENT OF MORE RECEPTIVE FUELS.
GIVEN THESE FORECAST UNCERTAINTIES, HIGHLIGHTS HAVE BEEN WITHHELD AT
THIS TIME BUT MAY BE CONSIDERED IN ADDITIONAL FORECAST UPDATES.
..HALBERT.. 07/10/2026
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page