793
ACUS11 KWNS 101710
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 101710
NCZ000-GAZ000-TNZ000-ALZ000-101915-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1573
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1210 PM CDT FRI JUL 10 2026
AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF THE MIDDLE TENNESSEE RIVER VALLEY INTO
NORTHWESTERN GEORGIA
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY
VALID 101710Z - 101915Z
PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 PERCENT
SUMMARY...ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS MAY ACCOMPANY A DEVELOPING
BAND OF THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE NEXT 1-2 HOURS. WATCH ISSUANCE
APPEARS UNLIKELY AT THIS TIME.
DISCUSSION...REGIONAL RADAR IMAGERY DEPICTS A DEVELOPING BAND OF
THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE MIDDLE TENNESSEE RIVER VALLEY AS OF 1710
UTC, WITH RECENT RADAR IMAGERY FROM KHTX SAMPLING VELOCITIES
APPROACHING 50 KTS AT 500 FT AGL WITHIN A PORTION OF THIS BAND.
AIDED BY FORCING FOR ASCENT AND MODESTLY ENHANCED MID-LEVEL FLOW
ALONG THE SOUTHERN/SOUTHEASTERN PERIPHERY OF A REMNANT MID-LEVEL
MCV, EXPECTATION IS FOR THIS ACTIVITY TO PROGRESS EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD
AMID A HOT, HUMID, AND DESTABILIZING AIR MASS. WHILE WEAK EFFECTIVE
SHEAR (GENERALLY 25 KTS OR LESS PER LATEST MESOANALYSIS) IS LIKELY
TO LIMIT OVERALL ORGANIZATION AND SHOULD TEMPER THE SEVERITY OF THIS
CONVECTION, STEEPENING LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES WILL LIKELY FOSTER SOME
INCREASE IN THE RISK FOR AT LEAST ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS OVER
THE NEXT 1-2 HOURS. TRENDS WILL CONTINUE TO BE MONITORED, BUT WATCH
ISSUANCE APPEARS UNLIKELY AT THIS TIME.
..CHALMERS/SMITH.. 07/10/2026
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
ATTN...WFO...MRX...FFC...BMX...HUN...
LAT...LON 33818469 33868509 34098575 34388638 34578667 34748673
34878654 35098600 35188573 35318549 35478530 35568519
35628510 35638480 35438431 35218402 34948381 34628377
34228396 33878438 33818469
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH
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