368
ACUS11 KWNS 101932
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 101932
NCZ000-SCZ000-GAZ000-102130-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1575
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0232 PM CDT FRI JUL 10 2026
AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL CAROLINAS AND FAR EASTERN
GEORGIA
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY
VALID 101932Z - 102130Z
PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...5 PERCENT
SUMMARY...WIDELY SCATTERED CONVECTION WILL PROGRESS EASTWARD ACROSS
THE CAROLINA PIEDMONT THIS AFTERNOON, BRINGING A RISK FOR ISOLATED
DAMAGING WIND GUSTS.
DISCUSSION...WIDELY SCATTERED CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED AMID A HOT
AND HUMID AIR MASS (TEMPERATURES IN THE UPPER 90S AND DEWPOINTS IN
THE MID-60S TO NEAR 70 F) IN PLACE ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST, WITH A
COUPLE OF REPORTS OF THUNDERSTORM WIND DAMAGE NOTED OVER THE PAST
HOUR. TWO AREAS OF GREATER CONVECTIVE COVERAGE ARE NOTED VIA RECENT
RADAR IMAGERY: ONE IN THE VICINITY OF CHARLOTTE, NC, AND THE OTHER
IN WESTERN SC. WEAK EFFECTIVE SHEAR AND DEEP-LAYER FLOW (GENERALLY
25 KTS OR LESS SAMPLED THROUGH THE COLUMN BY THE CAE VWP) WILL LIMIT
CONVECTIVE ORGANIZATION AND SEVERITY, BUT STEEP LOW-LEVEL LAPSE
RATES (8.5-9.0 C/KM) AND HIGH PW (1.75+ INCHES) WILL FACILITATE A
RISK FOR ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AS THIS CONVECTION PROGRESSES
EASTWARD THROUGH THIS EVENING. A LOCALLY GREATER RISK FOR DAMAGING
WIND GUSTS WILL LIKELY MANIFEST WITH ANY MORE MARGINALLY ORGANIZED
CLUSTERS THAT CAN DEVELOP/PERSIST. GIVEN THE LIMITED POTENTIAL FOR
STORM ORGANIZATION AND THE EXPECTATION FOR THE SEVERE MAGNITUDE TO
REMAIN LIMITED, WATCH ISSUANCE IS NOT EXPECTED.
..CHALMERS/SMITH.. 07/10/2026
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
ATTN...WFO...RAH...ILM...CAE...GSP...FFC...
LAT...LON 35618090 35798074 35968040 35997997 35947951 35797922
35427914 34807935 34217975 33718029 33478089 33228150
33178177 33228207 33338237 33538261 33808275 34098273
34338248 34488204 34748157 35028132 35318119 35478105
35618090
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH
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