550
ACUS11 KWNS 122047
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 122046
NCZ000-SCZ000-GAZ000-122215-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1607
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0346 PM CDT SUN JUL 12 2026
AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF CENTRAL/EASTERN GEORGIA INTO CENTRAL
SOUTH CAROLINA
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 486...
VALID 122046Z - 122215Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 486
CONTINUES.
SUMMARY...THE POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGING WIND GUSTS CONTINUES ACROSS
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 486. SOME POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED DAMAGING
GUSTS MAY ALSO DEVELOP/PERSIST DOWNSTREAM INTO PORTIONS OF
NORTHEASTERN SC/SOUTHEASTERN NC WITH TIME.
DISCUSSION...WIDELY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY CONTINUES ACROSS
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 486 AS OF 2045 UTC, WITH ISOLATED REPORTS
OF DAMAGING WIND GUSTS NOTED OVER THE PAST 1-2 HOURS. CONTINUED
HEATING OF A MOIST LOW-LEVEL AIR MASS CONTINUES TO SUPPORT
MODERATELY STRONG BUOYANCY (MLCAPE OF 2000-2500 J/KG) AND STEEP
LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES. THIS ENVIRONMENT FAVORS THE CONTINUED
POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGING WIND GUSTS ACROSS THE WATCH AREA,
PARTICULARLY FROM EASTERN GA INTO WESTERN SC WHERE LOW-LEVEL LAPSE
RATES ARE STEEPER.
LATEST OBJECTIVE ANALYSIS ALSO DEPICTS A ZONE OF STEEPER LOW-LEVEL
LAPSE RATES ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN NC. CONVECTION EVOLVING
EASTWARD FROM NORTHERN SC AND/OR ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT
ACROSS THE NC COASTAL PLAIN MAY POSE A RISK FOR ISOLATED DAMAGING
WIND GUSTS THROUGH THIS EVENING, BUT DOWNSTREAM WATCH ISSUANCE
APPEARS UNLIKELY AT THIS TIME DUE TO THE EXPECTATION FOR THIS RISK
TO REMAIN ISOLATED IN NATURE.
..CHALMERS/SMITH.. 07/12/2026
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
ATTN...WFO...MHX...RAH...ILM...CHS...CAE...GSP...FFC...
LAT...LON 33818361 34248281 34258273 34818124 35038019 35177882
35147795 35077755 34857730 34497724 34107756 33767798
33427960 33188051 32958135 32458270 32388336 32578384
33128393 33468382 33818361
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH
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