740
ACUS11 KWNS 132124
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 132124
FLZ000-132330-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1612
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0424 PM CDT MON JUL 13 2026
AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN FLORIDA
PENINSULA
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY
VALID 132124Z - 132330Z
PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...5 PERCENT
SUMMARY...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP AND MOVE
SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE CENTRAL FL PENINSULA THROUGH THIS EVENING,
ACCOMPANIED BY DAMAGING WIND GUSTS UP TO 60 MPH.
DISCUSSION...SURFACE TEMPERATURES IN THE LOW 90S COMBINED WITH
DEWPOINTS IN THE MID TO UPPER 70S ARE YIELDING A MODERATELY UNSTABLE
ENVIRONMENT AHEAD OF A CLUSTER OF CONGEALING THUNDERSTORMS MOVING
SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE CENTRAL FL PENINSULA LATE THIS AFTERNOON.
LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES PEAKING NEAR 7.5 C/KM, STORM MERGERS, AND A
DEEPENING COLD POOL WILL CONTINUE TO SUPPORT A THREAT OF SEVERE,
DAMAGING WIND GUSTS UP TO 60 MPH THROUGH AT LEAST 23Z. GIVEN THE
LOCALIZED NATURE OF THE THREAT, A WATCH IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS
TIME.
..BARNES/SMITH.. 07/13/2026
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
ATTN...WFO...MLB...TBW...
LAT...LON 28508104 28978054 28868039 27908003 27308046 27258116
27438167 27678183 27938190 28238168 28508104
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH
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