545  
ACUS11 KWNS 182058  
SWOMCD  
SPC MCD 182058  
MDZ000-VAZ000-NCZ000-WVZ000-182200-  
 
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1653  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK  
0358 PM CDT SAT JUL 18 2026  
 
AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND EASTERN  
VIRGINIA...SOUTHEAST MARYLAND  
 
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 496...  
 
VALID 182058Z - 182200Z  
 
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 496  
CONTINUES.  
 
SUMMARY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO POSE A RISK FOR  
DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND ISOLATED LARGE HAIL THROUGH EARLY EVENING.  
 
DISCUSSION...SEVERAL CLUSTERS OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE ALONG  
A CONFLUENCE ZONE FROM CENTRAL VA SOUTH ACROSS WESTERN NC AT 2045Z,  
AND THESE STORMS WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE EAST ACROSS THE WATCH AREA  
THROUGH EARLY EVENING. WITH STRONG INSTABILITY AND MODEST WESTERLY  
DEEP-LAYER SHEAR REMAINING IN PLACE, STORMS WILL CONTINUE TO POSE A  
SEVERE RISK OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS. DAMAGING GUSTS REMAIN THE  
PRIMARY SEVERE HAZARD, HOWEVER ISOLATED INSTANCES OF LARGE HAIL  
REMAIN POSSIBLE WITH THE MOST INTENSE STORMS.  
 
..BUNTING.. 07/18/2026  
   
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT  
 
ATTN...WFO...AKQ...LWX...RAH...RNK...  
 
LAT...LON 39117768 38587690 38227642 38357526 38237487 37617521  
36787566 36327580 36347672 35797911 35908023 36238043  
36698030 37427971 37697940 39157800 39117768  
 
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH  
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN  
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