953
FNUS22 KWNS 241929
FWDDY2
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0229 PM CDT FRI JUL 24 2026
VALID 251200Z - 261200Z
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR THE INLAND NORTHWEST INTO THE
NORTHWEST GREAT BASIN AND NORTHWEST MONTANA...
MINOR MODIFICATIONS WERE MADE TO THE OUTLOOK BASED ON THE LATEST
FORECAST GUIDANCE. ISOLATED TO SCATTERED MIXED WET/DRY THUNDERSTORMS
MAY DEVELOP INTO WESTERN SOUTH DAKOTA AND NORTHEAST WYOMING.
HOWEVER, EFFORTS WERE MADE TO EXCLUDE AREAS THAT HAVE RECENTLY
RECEIVED WETTING RAIN, WILL LIKELY RECEIVE WETTING RAIN, OR WILL
HAVE MULTIPLE CONSECUTIVE DAYS OF WETTER THUNDERSTORMS. REGARDLESS,
LIGHTNING IGNITIONS REMAIN POSSIBLE IF NOT LIKELY IN/AROUND THE
ISODRYT AREA, WITH GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS LIKELY AS WELL. ADDITIONALLY,
LOCALLY EXTREMELY CRITICAL CONDITIONS REMAIN POSSIBLE IN WIND PRONE
AREAS AND WHERE DEEP BOUNDARY LAYER MIXING ALLOWS FOR STRONGER WINDS
AND DRIER AIR ALOFT TO SURFACE ACROSS THE CRITICAL AREA.
..NAUSLAR.. 07/24/2026
PREV DISCUSSION
/ISSUED 0157 AM CDT FRI JUL 24 2026/
..SYNOPSIS
CONTINUED UPPER-LEVEL RIDGING OVER THE WEST ON SATURDAY WITH
ENHANCED FLOW OVER THE RIDGE WILL RESULT IN AN EXPANSIVE AREA OF
FIRE-WEATHER CONCERNS, EXTENDING FROM NORTHERN CALIFORNIA/NEVADA
INTO EASTERN OREGON/WASHINGTON AND NORTHERN IDAHO/MONTANA.
..CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
SUCCESSIVE DAYS WITH HOT, DRY, AND BREEZY CONDITIONS WARRANT
CRITICAL FIRE-WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS IN A FAVORABLE FUELSCAPE,
CHARACTERIZED BY ERC VALUES LARGELY RANGING FROM THE 80TH-95TH
PERCENTILES ACROSS THE REGION. DEEP, WELL-MIXED BOUNDARY LAYERS ARE
LIKELY TO YIELD CRITICAL RH VALUES (<15%) AND SUSTAINED AFTERNOON
WIND SPEEDS EXCEEDING 20 MPH. THE MOST FAVORABLE METEOROLOGICAL
CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN OREGON.
..DRY THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL
WHILE PW VALUES AROUND ONE INCH MAY FAVOR WETTING RAINS FROM
THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS CENTRAL/EASTERN MONTANA, VERY HOT AND DEEP
BOUNDARY LAYERS WILL PROMOTE PRECIPITATION EVAPORATION. WHEN
CONSIDERING RELATIVE FAST STORM MOTIONS (25-30 MPH), A MIX OF WET
AND DRY THUNDERSTORMS IS POSSIBLE ACROSS THE REGION.
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
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