021
ACUS11 KWNS 250036
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 250035
MNZ000-NDZ000-250200-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1727
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0735 PM CDT FRI JUL 24 2026
AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF FAR EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA INTO NORTHERN
MINNESOTA
CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 511...
VALID 250035Z - 250200Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 511 CONTINUES.
SUMMARY...SEVERE WIND AND HAIL WILL CONTINUE WITH ONGOING
SUPERCELLS, WITH ISOLATED TORNADOES STILL POSSIBLE.
DISCUSSION...MULTIPLE SUPERCELLS CONTINUE TO TRAVERSE A BAROCLINIC
ZONE AT THE TERMINUS OF A LOW-LEVEL WARM-AIR ADVECTION REGIME, WITH
A HISTORY OF SEVERE WIND/HAIL AND AT LEAST ONE BRIEF TORNADO. MRMS
MOSAIC MESH INDICATES SEVERE HAIL IS STILL FALLING WITH THESE
STORMS, WITH NEXRAD VELOCITY DATA SHOWING OCCASIONAL, BRIEF BOUTS OF
LOW-LEVEL ROTATION. WHILE AN INSTANCE OR TWO OF HAIL MAY OCCUR WITH
MULTICELLS AND TRANSIENT SUPERCELLS FARTHER NORTH OF THE BAROCLINIC
ZONE, THE PRIMARY SEVERE THREAT SHOULD CONTINUE WITH THE ONGOING
MATURE SUPERCELLS FOR AT LEAST A FEW HOURS. ALL SEVERE HAZARDS
REMAIN A CONCERN.
..SQUITIERI.. 07/25/2026
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
ATTN...WFO...DLH...FGF...
LAT...LON 48029786 48739628 48759465 48279350 47369318 46869333
46729365 46849447 47059591 47249661 47589761 48029786
MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...85-110 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN
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