915
FNUS22 KWNS 251922
FWDDY2
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0221 PM CDT SAT JUL 25 2026
VALID 261200Z - 271200Z
..CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHERN MONTANA
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PARTS OF THE NORTHERN SIERRA INTO
SOUTHEASTERN OREGON...
MINIMAL CHANGES WERE MADE TO THE OUTLOOK AREAS BASED ON RECENT
GUIDANCE. ISOLATED DRY THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS FAR
SOUTHERN MONTANA AND NORTHERN WYOMING ON DAY 2/SUNDAY; HOWEVER, THE
BROADER REGION IS EXPECTED BENEFIT FROM RAINFALL ON DAY 1/SATURDAY
AND ERCS ARE FORECAST TO RANGE FROM THE 70-80TH PERCENTILE,
PRECLUDING HIGHLIGHTS. NEVERTHELESS, LIGHTNING IGNITIONS CANNOT BE
RULED OUT WHERE POCKETS OF DRY FUELS EXIST. SEE THE PREVIOUS
DISCUSSION FOR MORE INFORMATION.
..ELIZALDE-GARCIA.. 07/25/2026
PREV DISCUSSION
/ISSUED 1156 PM CDT FRI JUL 24 2026/
..SYNOPSIS
AN UPPER RIDGE WILL REMAIN IN PLACE ACROSS THE WESTERN AND CENTRAL
CONUS TOMORROW (SUNDAY). A BELT OF STRONGER MID-LEVEL FLOW WILL
OVERSPREAD THE NORTHERN SIERRA AND PIVOT CLOCKWISE AROUND THE UPPER
RIDGE TO THE NORTHERN HIGH PLAINS, SUPPORTING DRY AND GUSTY
CONDITIONS NEAR THE SURFACE. AS THIS FLOW IS MIXED DOWNWARD TO THE
SURFACE BY A DEEP AND DRY BOUNDARY LAYER DURING THE AFTERNOON AREAS,
WIDESPREAD 15+ MPH SUSTAINED SOUTHWESTERLY SURFACE WINDS WILL BE
COMMON. GIVEN RH DIPPING TO AT LEAST 20 PERCENT, WIDESPREAD ELEVATED
HIGHLIGHTS HAVE BEEN INTRODUCED, FROM THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST TO THE
NORTHERN ROCKIES AND NORTHERN HIGH PLAINS. ADDITIONALLY, GUIDANCE
CONSENSUS CONTINUES TO INDICATE LOCALLY STRONGER SURFACE WIND
FIELDS, ATOP DRY FUELS, OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHERN MONTANA AND THE
NORTHERN SIERRA TO HARNEY BASIN. OVER BOTH OF THESE AREAS, 15
PERCENT RH WILL COINCIDE WITH THE STRONGER WINDS FOR SEVERAL HOURS,
WARRANTING CRITICAL HIGHLIGHTS.
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
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