088
ACUS11 KWNS 252142
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 252141
AZZ000-252345-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1732
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0441 PM CDT SAT JUL 25 2026
AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF CENTRAL ARIZONA
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE
VALID 252141Z - 252345Z
PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...60 PERCENT
SUMMARY...MULTIPLE SEVERE GUSTS MAY OCCUR WITH EMBEDDED DOWNBURSTS
THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. A COUPLE OF GUSTS COULD EXCEED 75 MPH.
DISCUSSION...A CLUSTER OF MULTICELLS AND PULSE-CELLULAR STORMS HAVE
GRADUALLY CONGEALED INTO A LOOSELY ORGANIZED MCS, WHICH IS SAGGING
SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD OFF OF THE HIGHER TERRAIN. AS THE MCS AND ITS
COLD POOL PROPAGATES TOWARD THE LOWER TERRAIN, IT WILL OVERSPREAD A
HOT AND DEEPLY MIXED BOUNDARY LAYER. SURFACE TEMPERATURES OVER 110
F, AMID 50S F DEWPOINTS, YIELDS 1500-2000 J/KG DCAPE AMID 50-60 F
SURFACE T/TD SPREADS, SUGGESTING THAT AMPLE EVAPORATIVE COOLING
POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR EMBEDDED DOWNBURSTS TO PRODUCE POTENTIAL
SEVERAL SEVERE GUSTS. GIVEN THE MAGNITUDE OF EVAPORATIVE COOLING
POTENTIAL PRESENT, 75+ MPH GUSTS MAY OCCUR. ONE OR MORE HABOOBS MAY
DEVELOP WITH THIS STORM CLUSTER AND PRODUCE LOW-VISIBILITY
CONDITIONS AS WELL.
..SQUITIERI/HART.. 07/25/2026
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
ATTN...WFO...TWC...FGZ...PSR...
LAT...LON 34811251 34331090 33831000 33210968 32881000 32711051
32561099 32731162 33021217 33281259 33551275 33791281
34811251
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page