359
ACUS11 KWNS 252313
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 252313
MTZ000-260045-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1734
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0613 PM CDT SAT JUL 25 2026
AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF CENTRAL INTO SOUTHERN MONTANA
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 514...
VALID 252313Z - 260045Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 514
CONTINUES.
SUMMARY...SEVERE GUSTS REMAIN A CONCERN THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS
WITH THE STRONGER, LONGER-LIVED STORMS. A GUST OR TWO COULD EXCEED
75 MPH.
DISCUSSION...PULSE CELLULAR AND MULTICELLULAR STORMS CONTINUE TO
TRACK ACROSS CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN MT, AMID A MODESTLY UNSTABLE AND
SHEARED AIRMASS. SURFACE TEMPERATURES REMAIN ABOVE 100 F, AMID MID
40S F DEWPOINTS AHEAD OF THE STORMS, YIELDING 50+ F SURFACE T/TD
SPREADS. DCAPE EXCEEDS 2000 J/KG IN SOME LOCALES (PER 23Z
MESOANALYSIS). AS SUCH, ENOUGH EVAPORATIVE COOLING WITH THE DEEPER
STORM CORES WILL SUPPORT DOWNBURSTS EASILY CAPABLE OF PRODUCING 60+
MPH GUSTS, A COUPLE OF WHICH MAY ALSO EXCEED 75 MPH.
..SQUITIERI/HART.. 07/25/2026
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
ATTN...WFO...BYZ...GGW...TFX...
LAT...LON 45551219 46821085 47560953 47870787 47810664 47470611
46720581 46000583 45590628 45300764 45090970 45111141
45551219
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH
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