833
ACUS11 KWNS 271852
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 271851
SCZ000-GAZ000-272045-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1766
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0151 PM CDT MON JUL 27 2026
AREAS AFFECTED...EASTERN GEORGIA INTO SOUTHEASTERN SOUTH CAROLINA
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY
VALID 271851Z - 272045Z
PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...5 PERCENT
SUMMARY...THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING ACROSS EASTERN GEORGIA AND INTO
ADJACENT PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN SOUTH CAROLINA MAY POSE A DAMAGING
WIND RISK THIS AFTERNOON. WATCH ISSUANCE IS NOT EXPECTED.
DISCUSSION...GROWING CUMULUS AND THE EARLY STAGES OF THUNDERSTORM
DEVELOPMENT ARE NOTED ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST GA INTO ADJACENT
AREAS OF SC. THIS ACTIVITY COMES AS DIURNAL HEATING ERODES
INHIBITION HEAD OF A WEAK MID-LEVEL PERTURBATION (THE REMNANTS OF AN
EARLY-MORNING MCS) THAT IS APPROACHING THE REGION. THUNDERSTORM
INTENSIFICATION AND COVERAGE SHOULD SLOWLY INCREASE AS WEAK ASCENT
AHEAD OF THE PERTURBATION OVERSPREADS THE REGION AND DAYTIME HEATING
CONTINUES TO BOLSTER BUOYANCY (MLCAPE VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO REACH
AROUND 3000-3500 J/KG). VERY WEAK DEEP-LAYER WIND SHEAR WILL LIMIT
STORM LONGEVITY AND INTENSITY, BUT STEEPENING LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES
NEAR 8.5 C/KM WILL FAVOR ACCELERATING DOWNDRAFTS AND STRONG
DOWNBURST WITH SWATHS OF DAMAGING WINDS (MOST LIKELY PEAKING BETWEEN
40-60 MPH). GIVEN THE POOR KINEMATIC ENVIRONMENT AND THE ISOLATED
NATURE OF THE THREAT, WATCH ISSUANCE IS NOT EXPECTED.
..MOORE/HART.. 07/27/2026
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
ATTN...WFO...CHS...CAE...GSP...JAX...FFC...TAE...
LAT...LON 31688100 31418127 31228265 31238318 31438365 31828371
32068357 32738332 33368311 33538296 33768275 33838262
33988231 34058200 34028162 33858128 33548089 33158064
32868058 32358066 31688100
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH
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